Nad Alshiba Green

The numbers that really stand out belong to one specific set of conditions. On normal ground, this horse has won 3 of just 6 races — that's a 50% win rate, which is genuinely extraordinary. To put that in perspective, most good horses win roughly 1 in 5 or 6 races across a career. Winning half the time under the right conditions suggests a horse that isn't just capable, but one that absolutely knows what it's doing when the ground suits. Catch it on a dry, standard track and you have a very different proposition on your hands.

Nad Alshiba Green has also shown a sharp appetite for the level it competes at most often. In Class 4 races — a solid mid-tier of competition — it has won 2 from 5, which is 40%. Again, that's a horse that performs when the occasion calls for it. Cox's yard has been in fine form this season, sending out 48 winners, so the training environment is clearly working for horses at this level.

The concern, and it's worth being honest about it, is the current dry spell. The last win came at Nottingham on 1 June 2025 — now 12 months ago — and the last 6 races have produced nothing better than a third place, with a couple of tenth-place finishes mixed in. The sequence of 6-3-2-10-6-10 tells a story of a horse that briefly looked like it was finding form again before fading. It raced just yesterday, so it's clearly still being kept busy and the team hasn't given up on it.

The career started promisingly with a debut win at Bath in July 2024, and the underlying talent — especially on that normal ground — is clearly real. Whether Nad Alshiba Green can rediscover that winning feeling is the question worth watching.