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Intrusively

Intrusively has won just once in 18 races — and that victory came almost two years ago at Nottingham in August 2024. On the bare numbers, a 6% win rate (roughly 1 win in every 18 races) and no success at all from six attempts in Class 1 or 2 races doesn't sound like a horse to get excited about. But there's more to this story than the record suggests.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Territories
Mother
Intrusion
Owner
Julian Ball Partner
Rating
76

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
18
Career races
1
Wins
5.6%
Win rate
avg ~10%
27.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Trainer Michael Appleby, who operates out of Oakham in Rutland and has sent out 71 winners already this season, is clearly fond of this horse. He points out that Intrusively finished third in the Richmond Stakes — one of the top races in Britain for young sprinters — and ran fifth in the Doncaster sales race, just three places behind a horse that would go on to win the French Derby. In other words, this is a horse that has mixed it with some genuinely elite company. The modest win tally looks rather different once you understand the level he's been competing at.

A winter interrupted by minor physical issues set him back, but Appleby says his comeback run at Newcastle was more promising than the finishing position implied. The horse met traffic throughout the race — essentially got stuck in traffic with nowhere to go — and Appleby believes he'd have finished at least fourth without that inconvenience. He hit the line hard, meaning he was finishing strongly at the end, which is a good sign for races to come.

At his best distances of five to six and a half furlongs, he has won 1 from 5 races — a 20% win rate, or roughly 1 in 5 — which is a genuinely solid number for a horse at this level. He raced just one day ago, so he's very much in active campaign. The team clearly believes there's a win in him if things fall right, and given the calibre of horses he's already run against, they're probably not wrong.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 7 starts (14%)
Well suited by 5f – 6½f distances: 20% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Yet to win at Doncaster in 5 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
9 Jul
7th
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
26 Jun
4th
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
5 Jun
4th
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
9 May
4th
Nottingham
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 13 runners
20 Apr
9th
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
28 Mar
15th
Doncaster
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
25 Oct
4th
Doncaster
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 14 runners
27 Sep
9th
Haydock Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
21 Aug
7th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 14 runners
29 Jul
9th
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Good · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Robert Havlin Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Doncaster
Galloping
5 5 other 9 Jul 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 9 May 33.3%
Haydock Park
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 27 Sep 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
3 3 other 26 Jun 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 1 third, 1 other 29 Jul 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 second 7 Jul 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Apr 0%