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Intrusively

Intrusively is a 4-year-old with the kind of record that tells two different stories depending on how you look at it. Across 23 races he has won just twice — a 9% win rate that sounds modest on paper — but both victories have come in the last few months, and the most recent one was only this week at Newcastle. That kind of momentum, especially when a horse is still racing actively, suggests Michael Appleby's yard might have found the right formula at last.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Territories
Mother
Intrusion
Owner
Julian Ball Partner
Official rating
68

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
23
Career races
2
Wins
8.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
26.1%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
2 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The trainer has been candid about Intrusively's journey. The horse showed real promise as a younger runner, finishing third in the Richmond Stakes and fifth in a prestigious sales race at Doncaster where it ran just three top-3 finishes behind the French Derby winner. Winter and some niggling issues slowed progress, but when Intrusively returned to the track at Newcastle, Appleby noted it ran with genuine quality despite meeting traffic during the race — the kind of comment that suggests the horse had more in the tank than the result showed. That comeback run proved to be a turning point. Three weeks later, Intrusively won again at Newcastle, and this time it hit the line hard, exactly the kind of finishing kick that wins races.

The numbers reveal where Intrusively really thrives. Over distances between 5 furlongs and 6½ furlongs, it has won 1 of 5 races — a 20% win rate at those middle distances. Step up to the bigger races, though, and the picture changes entirely. At Class 2, the top tier of British racing, Intrusibly has managed 0 wins from 6 attempts. That gap between consistent performance at the right distance and level versus the highest class suggests Intrusively is a horse that knows its job and can do it well, but not quite at the elite end of the sport. The key now will be keeping it fresh and pointed at races where it can compete on equal terms. Appleby has a horse worth keeping on the right side of.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
✔ Well suited by 5f – 6½f distances: 20% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Doncaster in 5 attempts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
Loves
7F – 1M
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Oct
4th
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners
12 Oct
🏆 Won
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 13 runners
25 Sep
5th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 11 runners
5 Sep
7th
Thirsk
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
1 Aug
9th
Hamilton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
9 Jul
7th
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
26 Jun
4th
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
5 Jun
4th
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
9 May
4th
Nottingham
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 13 runners
20 Apr
9th
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
6 1 win, 5 other 16 Oct 16.7%
Doncaster
Galloping
5 5 other 9 Jul 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 9 May 33.3%
Haydock Park
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 27 Sep 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 1 third, 1 other 29 Jul 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Apr 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 second 7 Jul 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 1 Aug 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Sep 0%