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Great David

There is a horse at James Tate's Newmarket yard that its trainer thinks could be among the very best offspring of its sire Ribchester — and looking at the evidence, that is not an idle boast. Great David has won 2 races from 12 outings, placing on 3 further occasions, but the raw numbers undersell what has been an increasingly ambitious campaign for a four-year-old that seems to be finding its ceiling later than most.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Colt
Colour
Bay
Father
Ribchester
Mother
Prussian
Trainer
Owner
Yerbol Zhaxylykov
Official rating
97

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
12
Career races
2
Wins
16.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
25%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
109 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The breakthrough came at Brighton in October 2024, but the run that really turned heads arrived at Nottingham this April, when Great David bolted up on its seasonal return. That kind of decisive win on a comeback outing is the sort of thing that makes trainers sit up and start thinking bigger. Tate did exactly that, pitching the horse into the Dee Stakes at Chester — one of the more prestigious spring contests for horses of this age — where Great David finished a highly creditable third despite being drawn in the widest stall on the track, a serious disadvantage at that tight circuit. Finishing third from there is not a consolation; it is genuinely impressive.

The team then took the next logical step and ran at Royal Ascot, finishing fifth in a Group 3 race — one of the top tier contests in British racing — behind Trinity College. Tate is candid that the fast, dry ground that week was far from ideal and that Great David essentially ran against conditions that did not suit him at all. Given that context, fifth place at Royal Ascot looks considerably better than it reads on paper.

What stands out is how well the horse performs at distances between seven furlongs and a mile — winning 1 from 3 races at those trips, a rate of 33%, which is strong. And at Class 4 level, the bread-and-butter tier where he has spent much of his career, the record reads 2 wins from 5 races, meaning he wins 40% of the time he competes there — almost 2 in every 5. That is a horse who takes full advantage when the occasion fits him. The question now, with Group-level ambitions clearly on the table, is whether the yard can find him the right conditions — softer, wetter ground and a fair draw — to show just how good he might really be.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 33% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Jul
5th
Sandown Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
5 Jun
11th
Epsom Downs
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 17 runners
8 May
9th
Chester
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 14 runners
23 Aug
5th
Windsor
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 5 runners
18 Jul
5th
Hamilton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 7 runners
19 Jun
5th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners
8 May
3rd
Chester
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 7 runners
9 Apr
🏆 Won
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 9 runners
17 Oct
🏆 Won
Brighton
7f – 1m · Soft · 11 runners
14 Sep
4th
Bath
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
James Doyle Current jockey
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Epsom Downs
Undulating
2 2 other 5 Jun 0%
Chester
Tight
2 1 third, 1 other 8 May 0%
Brighton
Undulating
1 1 win 17 Oct 100%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 win 9 Apr 100%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 23 Aug 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 18 Jul 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 14 Aug 0%
Bath
Undulating
1 1 other 14 Sep 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Jun 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Jul 0%