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Forlio

There is a horse that takes its time, but when everything clicks, it delivers. Forlio is a 7-year-old trained by Paul W Flynn out of Colehill in Co Longford, a yard that has sent out 21 winners already this season and clearly knows how to place a horse to its best advantage. Across 25 races, Forlio has won twice and placed four more times — a win rate of around 1 in every 12 races, which sounds modest until you start looking at where those wins came from and who was in the saddle.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Mayson
Mother
Lady Hen
Owner
Bhoys On Tour Syndicate
Rating
62

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
25
Career races
2
Wins
8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
16%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The distance tells most of the story. Stretched out to between a mile and three furlongs and a mile and four furlongs, Forlio becomes a different animal. At that trip, it has won 2 of its 10 races — a 20% win rate, or roughly 1 in every 5 — which is a genuinely strong record and suggests the horse is built for stamina rather than speed. Keep it short, and it finds little. Give it room to run, and it rewards you.

Colin Keane is the key to unlocking it. In five races together, Keane has ridden Forlio to both of its career wins — that is a 40% win rate as a partnership, a remarkable number at any level of racing. That kind of record between jockey and horse is not a coincidence; it speaks to a real understanding of how the horse wants to be ridden. The first win came at Limerick in May 2024, and the most recent at Navan in October 2025, which means Forlio was still winning at seven years old, not winding down.

Recent form reads 5-10-9-7-1-5 over the last six races, which is patchy on the surface but contains that Navan victory in the middle of the sequence. It raced just one day ago, so it is very much in active work. The challenge for the team at this point is finding the right opportunities — Forlio has tried three races at the top level it typically competes at and has yet to win one, going 0 from 3 at that grade. But step it back in class, stretch it out in distance, and put Keane in the plate, and this horse has shown it can beat a field. Patience, distance, and the right partner — that is the Forlio formula.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on yielding ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 20% win rate
Effective partnership with Colin Keane: 40% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Yielding (slightly soft)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
25 Apr
5th
Navan
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Yielding · 26 runners
7 Nov
10th
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 15 runners
19 Oct
9th
Leopardstown
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 21 runners
13 Oct
7th
Roscommon
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 19 runners
8 Oct
🏆 Won
Navan
1m3f – 1m4f · Yielding · 17 runners
30 Jun
5th
Ffos Las
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
6 Jun
14th
Fairyhouse
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 21 runners
29 May
6th
Fairyhouse
1m3f – 1m4f · Yielding · 20 runners
12 May
11th
Roscommon
1m6f – 2m · Good · 16 runners
26 Apr
14th
Navan
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 21 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Colin Keane Current Jockey
40%
Win rate
2/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
William Pyle
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Dylan O'Connor
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Navan
Galloping
5 1 win, 4 other 25 Apr 20%
Roscommon
Sharp
3 1 third, 2 other 13 Oct 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 2 other 19 Oct 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
2 2 other 29 Mar 0%
Dundalk
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 7 Nov 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
2 2 other 6 Jun 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 2 other 18 Oct 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 win 16 May 100%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 1 Jul 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 14 Sep 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 31 Aug 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Jul 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 other 30 Jun 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
1 1 other 29 May 0%