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Fiscal Policy

Fiscal Policy is a seven-year-old sprinter who has won 9 of his 47 races — a respectable record that masks a horse hitting a rough patch. He won roughly one in every five races across his career, but he has not tasted success in his last six outings, and his most recent run a day ago saw him finish third. After two months without a win since a success at Pontefract in early June, the doubts are starting to creep in.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Profitable
Mother
Penny's Gift
Trainer
Owner
S Thompson Mrs R Carr G Shields
Rating
72

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
47
Career races
9
Wins
19.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
44.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Yet there are signs of a horse worth watching when conditions align. Fiscal Policy is a genuine specialist at Pontefract, where he has won 2 of his 3 races — a win rate that stands out sharply against his modest Class 5 record of 2 wins from 13 races. He also shows a clear preference for normal or soft ground, winning roughly one in every three races on both surfaces. His trainer, Ruth Carr at Stillington in North Yorkshire, notes that he is a straightforward sprinter who always gives his best, but also hints at the reality of his situation: after winning twice in the autumn, he has climbed high enough in the weights that life has become harder. At one pound below his career-high mark, he is running against better company than ever.

The partnership with jockey James Sullivan, however, has struggled to click — just one win from twelve rides together, a figure well below Fiscal Policy's overall win rate. That mismatch raises a question for the yard about whether a different rider might unlock something different. Right now, Fiscal Policy is out of form and facing stiffer opposition, but a return to Pontefract on normal ground with the right conditions and jockey could remind everyone why he won back-to-back races only months ago.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 6 starts (33%)
Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 2 wins from 6 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 13 starts
Yet to win at Newmarket in 5 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Long straights
Loves
Left-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Aug
3rd
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
7 Aug
6th
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
24 Jul
11th
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 22 runners
11 Jul
17th
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 20 runners
25 Jun
2nd
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
19 Jun
3rd
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good · 18 runners
8 Jun
🏆 Won
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
21 May
5th
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good · 8 runners
9 May
2nd
Leicester
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
25 Apr
2nd
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
James Sullivan Current Jockey
8.3%
Win rate
1/12
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Wolverhampton
Galloping
6 2 wins, 4 other 30 Jan 33.3%
chelmsford 6 2 wins, 4 other 1 Jun 33.3%
Kempton Park
Galloping
5 1 win, 2 seconds, 2 other 27 Sep 20%
Newmarket
Galloping
5 3 seconds, 1 third, 1 other 7 Aug 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
4 1 win, 3 other 21 May 25%
Newcastle
Galloping
4 1 win, 3 other 16 Jan 25%
Southwell
Galloping
4 4 other 28 Dec 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
3 2 wins, 1 third 16 Aug 66.7%
York
Galloping
3 3 other 24 Jul 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 third 10 Apr 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 second 25 Apr 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 other 29 Jul 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 third 4 Sep 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 second 9 May 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 25 Jun 0%