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Evaluation

Evaluation is a horse that has learned to win in the right spots. At eight years old and still racing regularly, he has picked up six wins across 29 races — a 21% win rate that sounds modest until you look closer at where those victories came. On normal ground, he turns into a different animal entirely, winning four races from eleven attempts, a 36% win rate that suggests conditions matter far more to him than most horses. Put him on anything faster or slower than standard turf and his chances drop sharply, which tells you something important: this is a horse that needs the track to suit him before he shows what he can do.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Dubawi
Mother
Estimate
Trainer
Owner
Lady I Ms Catriona Good
Official rating
115

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
29
Career races
6
Wins
20.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
51.7%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
4 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The problem is that Evaluation has gravitated upward into the tougher Class 2 races, where he has never won in thirteen attempts. His last victory came at Ayr on 13 November 2024, nearly two years ago now, and his recent form tells a story of a horse treading water. In his last six races — finishing third, second, eighth, thirteenth, fourth, and second again — he has shown enough to suggest he is not yet finished, particularly that recent second place, but he has drifted away from the winning post. Adam Nicol's yard at Seahouses in Northumberland is sending out winners at a steady clip this season, but Evaluation has not been one of them for a while.

What makes Evaluation interesting is not what he is doing now, but what the trainer believes he might become. Nicol ran him close as a second-place finisher in the Northumberland Plate earlier this year and has spoken about stepping him up to jump racing, suggesting there is still a plan, still a purpose. For a horse of Evaluation's age, that is remarkable in itself. Whether he finds another win in flat racing or makes a second career over jumps, something has clearly caught his trainer's eye.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 4 wins from 11 starts (36%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Kempton Park in 5 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 10 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
14 Oct
3rd
Wetherby
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 5 runners
4 Oct
2nd
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
26 Sep
8th
Haydock Park
1m6f – 2m · Heavy · 10 runners
21 Aug
13th
Hamilton Park
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 15 runners
15 Oct
4th
Wetherby
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 5 runners
16 Aug
2nd
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
15 May
3rd
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
22 Apr
2nd
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
2 Feb
5th
Musselburgh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
30 Nov
6th
Newcastle
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
75%
Win rate
3/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Graham Lee
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Kempton Park
Galloping
5 2 seconds, 3 other 6 Dec 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
4 1 second, 3 other 30 Nov 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 14 Oct 33.3%
Musselburgh
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 2 Feb 50%
York
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 21 Aug 50%
Perth
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 third 16 Aug 0%
Kelso
Undulating
2 2 seconds 4 Oct 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 2 other 12 Oct 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 win 13 Nov 100%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 win 6 May 100%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 win 23 Apr 100%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 second 21 Aug 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Sep 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 21 Aug 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Sep 0%