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Early Release

Early Release has the look of a horse that knows what works—and what doesn't. The four-year-old has picked up four wins from 26 races, a win rate of roughly one in every six attempts, but those numbers hide something more useful: a real preference for soft, muddy ground. On wet going, Early Release becomes a different proposition entirely, winning two of its three races at that sort of pace—a 67% success rate that suggests the horse genuinely thrives when the track cuts up. That kind of specialisation can be the making of a lower-level racer, because horses that perform brilliantly on one type of ground often stay sound longer and rack up wins more consistently than all-rounders.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Sergei Prokofiev
Mother
Evening Starlight
Owner
G A Racing
Official rating
69

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
26
Career races
4
Wins
15.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
34.6%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
16 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

At Kempton Park, Early Release has found another sweet spot, winning two of four races there and building a useful record at a track that suits its running style. The most recent victory came back in late May at Bath, four months ago now, which means there's time to make up. The last six races tell a story of mixed form—a win on that May day followed by finishes of seventh, first place again, fifth, sixth, and eighth most recently—but consistency in mid-field finishes (three consecutive sixth or eighth-place efforts) is often a sign a horse needs fresher legs or different ground conditions to spark again.

David Evans, the trainer at Pandy in Monmouths, has built a productive yard this season with 37 winners already, and Jordan Williams has ridden Early Release five times, winning once together at a 20% win rate. The partnership suggests Evans and Williams see something in this horse worth persisting with—and on the evidence of those soft-ground wins and the Kempton record, they are probably right. Early Release may never be a horse for the biggest races, but it remains genuinely competitive at Class 6 level, where it has converted three wins from 11 attempts, a 27% success rate that puts it well above the average for that grade.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Wolverhampton in 5 attempts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 1 wins from 15 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Firm (dry)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
Sprint (< 5F)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
2 Oct
8th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
4 Sep
6th
Kempton Park
5f – 6½f · 7 runners
15 Jul
5th
Bath
5f – 6½f · Firm · 7 runners
26 May
🏆 Won
Bath
5f – 6½f · Firm · 5 runners
11 Apr
7th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
13 Mar
6th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 9 runners
2 Mar
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
5f – 6½f · Standard_To_Slow
6 Feb
8th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
19 Jan
10th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
27 Dec
9th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 13 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
20%
Win rate
1/5
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Jack Dace
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Ryan Kavanagh
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Southwell
Galloping
6 1 win, 1 second, 4 other 11 Apr 16.7%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
5 1 third, 4 other 2 Oct 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
4 2 wins, 1 third, 1 other 4 Sep 50%
Bath
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 15 Jul 50%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 16 Feb 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 19 May 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 9 Apr 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Sep 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Jun 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 31 Jul 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 second 5 May 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 18 May 0%