Capital Guarantee

The secret to Capital Guarantee's best performances is fast, dry ground. On such conditions, the horse wins roughly 1 in every 4 races (4 wins from 15 attempts), a figure that stands well above its overall rate of 16 per cent. Soft or muddy ground, by contrast, appears to dull its competitive edge. David O'Meara, who trains the horse at Upper Helmsley in Yorkshire, has a yard sending out winners at a steady clip — 101 this season alone — and understands how to use courses like Thirsk to Capital Guarantee's advantage. When Daniel Tudhope has taken the ride, the results have been particularly sharp: three wins from eight races together, a 38 per cent win rate that suggests genuine understanding between jockey and horse.

Recent form tells a story of a horse that still competes hard. In its last six races, Capital Guarantee has returned home in the placings three times and finished nowhere at all twice, but it raced just yesterday, proof of an animal that keeps showing up. At Class 4 level — where it has won 4 of its 16 races — Capital Guarantee remains effective, a stock horse that trainers and owners depend on to put together the kind of season that pays the bills. First past the post back in July 2023 at Musselburgh, it has now spent three years proving it belongs on the track.