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Bellum Justum

There are horses that perform well, and then there are horses that perform well when it matters most. Bellum Justum falls firmly into the second category. The 5-year-old has won 3 of its 14 races — roughly 1 in every 5 — but what stands out isn't the volume, it's where those wins have come. Two of the three are Class 1 victories, meaning two of the very top races in Britain. That's not a horse that picks up easy wins in quiet company; that's a horse that saves its best for the biggest stages.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Sea The Stars
Mother
Natural Beauty
Owner
King Power Racing Co Ltd
Official rating
108

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
14
Career races
3
Wins
21.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.9%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
174 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The highlights are genuinely impressive. Bellum Justum won at Epsom Downs in April 2024, one of the most famous and demanding tracks in the country, then landed another top-level prize at Newmarket in May 2025. Newmarket, in particular, looks like home — the horse has won 2 of its 5 races there, which at the highest level of the sport is a remarkable return. For context, even the very best trainers in Britain would be delighted with those numbers at a track as competitive as Newmarket.

Speaking of trainers, Bellum Justum is handled by Andrew Balding at his Kingsclere yard in Hampshire — an operation currently firing on all cylinders, having sent out 202 winners already this season. That kind of output puts it among the busiest and most successful yards in the country. In the saddle, Oisin Murphy has been the go-to partner, and the numbers tell an interesting story: Murphy has ridden the horse 8 times and won 3 of them, a win rate of 38%. That's an exceptionally productive partnership by any measure.

The horse also has clear preferences worth noting. On normal ground, it wins 2 from 5 races — a 40% win rate that suggests conditions genuinely matter here. Over middle distances of around a mile and three to a mile and four furlongs, it has won 1 from 3, showing it handles a thorough test of stamina well. Most of its career has come in Class 1 company, where it has won 2 from 8 races — 1 in every 4 — which underlines just how consistently it has been placed against the very best.

The recent form reads 6-5-9-6-1-5, so there have been quieter runs around that Newmarket win. But with a horse that operates at the top level and has form figures at the biggest tracks to its name, the story isn't about every single run — it's about what happens when the occasion demands it.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
✔ Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 33% win rate
✔ Effective partnership with Oisin Murphy: 38% win rate together

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
2 May
6th
Newmarket
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
18 Apr
5th
Newbury
1m6f – 2m · Good · 7 runners
21 Jun
9th
Ascot
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
6 Jun
6th
Epsom Downs
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
2 May
🏆 Won
Newmarket
1m6f – 2m · Good · 4 runners
12 Apr
5th
Newbury
1m6f – 2m · Good · 7 runners
1 Aug
2nd
Goodwood
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 5 runners
20 Jun
3rd
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
1 Jun
7th
Epsom Downs
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 16 runners
23 Apr
🏆 Won
Epsom Downs
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 6 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
37.5%
Win rate
3/8
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newmarket
Galloping
5 2 wins, 1 second, 2 other 2 May 40%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
3 1 win, 2 other 6 Jun 33.3%
Ascot
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 21 Jun 0%
Newbury
Galloping
2 2 other 18 Apr 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 second 1 Aug 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Sep 0%