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Belgravian

There are horses that take time to find themselves, and Belgravian looks very much like one that has. The four-year-old has won 4 of 12 races in total — a solid win rate of roughly 1 in 3 — but the recent numbers tell a more exciting story. Three wins from the last six races, with the sequence reading 1-1-1-3-7-4 going back from the most recent outing. That kind of form doesn't happen by accident.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Make Believe
Mother
Marie Celeste
Owner
Michael Blencowe
Official rating
95

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
12
Career races
4
Wins
33.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
58.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
210 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Trained by Andrew Balding at Kingsclere in Hampshire, Belgravian is part of one of the most productive yards in the country right now. Balding's team has sent out 200 winners this season alone — a remarkable volume that speaks to the depth and organisation of the operation. When a horse comes out of that yard in form, it tends to mean something.

What makes Belgravian genuinely interesting is how clearly the conditions suit. On fast, dry ground, the record reads 2 wins from 4 races — a 50% win rate, which is extraordinary at any level of the sport. Over long distances of two miles or more, it gets even better: 3 wins from just 5 races, a 60% success rate. That's not a coincidence, that's a profile. This is a horse that wants to be running a long way on firm ground, and when those conditions arrive, it delivers.

Most of Belgravian's racing has come at Class 5 level — the everyday, bread-and-butter end of the sport — where it has won 2 of 6 races. That's a fair return at that level, though the horse has clearly been capable of better. It opened its winning account at Doncaster in June 2025 and most recently scored at Goodwood in August — two very different tracks, which suggests the ability isn't tied to one specific venue. The last recorded result was a fourth-place finish three days ago, so this is a horse very much in the thick of a campaign.

At four years old, with a clear preference for long trips on dry ground and a trainer firing on all cylinders, the trajectory here looks promising. Whether the team decides to test Belgravian at a higher level is the interesting question — because the raw numbers suggest there might be more to find.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
✔ Well suited by Long Distance (2m+) distances: 60% win rate
✔ Strong overall win rate: wins 33% of races
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Mar
4th
Kempton Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners
11 Oct
7th
Newmarket
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 21 runners
20 Sep
3rd
Newmarket
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
24 Aug
🏆 Won
Goodwood
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
10 Aug
🏆 Won
Haydock Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
19 Jul
🏆 Won
Doncaster
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
1 Jul
2nd
chelmsford
1m6f – 2m · Standard_To_Slow · 8 runners
6 Jun
🏆 Won
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 7 runners
15 May
4th
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 7 runners
23 Apr
2nd
Catterick Bridge
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Jason Watson Current jockey
50%
Win rate
2/4
Wins / rides
66.7%
Win rate
2/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Doncaster
Galloping
2 2 wins 19 Jul 100%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 2 other 28 Mar 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 11 Oct 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 win 10 Aug 100%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 win 24 Aug 100%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 second 23 Apr 0%
Bath
Undulating
1 1 other 14 Sep 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Apr 0%
chelmsford 1 1 second 1 Jul 0%