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Bay Dream Believer

7-year-old mare with a 14% win rate who thrives on mostly firm ground.
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
New Bay
Mother
Arabescatta
Owner
Ursa Major Racing Ltd & Partner
Rating
63

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
43
Career races
6
Wins
14.0%
Win rate
avg ~10%
34.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
3 days
Since last race

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 4 wins from 11 starts (36%)
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 9 starts (22%)
Course specialist at Ripon: 3 wins from 6 starts (50%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Yet to win at Beverley in 6 attempts
Struggles on RH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
Struggles on LH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Standard to slow
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to soft
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
7F – 1M
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
1M6F – 2M
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3
Class 4
Class 5
Avoids
Class 6
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turning
Loves
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Ok
Right-handed, undulating
Avoids
Left-handed, undulating
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Mar
13th
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 15 runners
6 Nov
9th
Newcastle
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 12 runners
23 Oct
5th
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 16 runners
4 Oct
2nd
Redcar
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
17 Sep
6th
Beverley
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 14 runners
4 Sep
7th
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 7 runners
26 Aug
🏆 Won
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
16 Aug
🏆 Won
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
2 Aug
🏆 Won
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
27 Jun
5th
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
16.7%
Win rate
2/12
Won / Rode
22.2%
Win rate
2/9
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mia Nicholls
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Miss Alice Cooke
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Alex Jary
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Ripon
Sharp
6 3 wins, 1 second, 2 other 26 Aug 50%
Beverley
Undulating
6 3 thirds, 3 other 17 Sep 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
4 4 other 6 Nov 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
4 1 second, 3 other 23 Jun 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
4 1 second, 3 other 16 May 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 28 Mar 33.3%
Redcar
Galloping
3 2 seconds, 1 other 4 Oct 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
2 2 other 24 Oct 0%
Southwell
Galloping
2 2 other 4 Sep 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
2 2 other 23 Oct 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 win 11 Aug 100%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 win 16 May 100%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 other 12 Jun 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Jul 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 second 10 Oct 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Aug 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 25 Sep 0%