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Arctic Thunder

Arctic Thunder has found his groove at distances between seven furlongs and a mile, where he wins roughly once every 3 or 4 races—a win rate that stands out from his overall record of 4 wins from 23 starts. The 5-year-old, trained by Ed Walker at Upper Lambourn, has shown he belongs in better company than where he usually competes. His Class 2 win at Ascot in May 2024 proved he can beat top-class opposition, yet he struggles badly in the Class 3 races that have become his bread and butter—0 wins from 8 attempts at that level tells its own story.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Night Of Thunder
Mother
Al Kirana
Trainer
Owner
Chris David Stam
Official rating
96

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
23
Career races
4
Wins
17.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
26.1%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
23 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What's most revealing about Arctic Thunder is his recent form. He won at Haydock Park just seven weeks ago, then came back last week with a respectable effort, finishing seventh in his latest race. That sequence of results—7-6-1-1-8-6 across his last six outings—shows a horse capable of running well on his day but inconsistent enough that punters can never be certain when those good days will arrive. Two wins from his last six races suggests he's figured something out recently, though the scattered placings in between indicate he hasn't quite solved the puzzle of delivering consistently.

His first career win came at Kempton Park in January 2024, and Arctic Thunder has been steadily climbing ever since. With Ed Walker's yard sending out 76 winners this season, the trainer clearly knows how to get the best out of his horses. For Arctic Thunder, the data points to one clear lesson: keep him at his ideal distance and in races tough enough to suit his profile, and he's a genuine competitor. Stick him in mid-range handicaps at distances that don't suit him, and you'll likely be disappointed.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 27% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Ok
5F – 6½F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
26 Sep
7th
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Heavy · 10 runners
4 Sep
6th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 13 runners
8 Aug
🏆 Won
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
21 Jul
🏆 Won
Salisbury
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 4 runners
29 Jun
8th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
5 Jun
6th
Epsom Downs
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 16 runners
6 May
7th
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
17 Apr
12th
Newbury
5f – 6½f · Good · 16 runners
14 Oct
4th
Leicester
7f – 1m · Good · 17 runners
20 Sep
3rd
Newbury
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
50%
Win rate
2/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Haydock Park
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 26 Sep 25%
Kempton Park
Galloping
4 1 win, 3 other 29 Jun 25%
Ascot
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 4 Sep 33.3%
Newbury
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 17 Apr 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 2 other 21 Aug 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 win 21 Jul 100%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Jul 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 6 May 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 5 Jun 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 14 Oct 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 3 Aug 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 25 Nov 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 15 Aug 0%