Arctic Thunder
Arctic Thunder has found his groove at distances between seven furlongs and a mile, where he wins roughly once every 3 or 4 races—a win rate that stands out from his overall record of 4 wins from 23 starts. The 5-year-old, trained by
Ed Walker at Upper Lambourn, has shown he belongs in better company than where he usually competes. His Class 2 win at Ascot in May 2024 proved he can beat top-class opposition, yet he struggles badly in the Class 3 races that have become his bread and butter—0 wins from 8 attempts at that level tells its own story.
Based on TrackLab's analysis
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
What's most revealing about Arctic Thunder is his recent form. He won at Haydock Park just seven weeks ago, then came back last week with a respectable effort, finishing seventh in his latest race. That sequence of results—7-6-1-1-8-6 across his last six outings—shows a horse capable of running well on his day but inconsistent enough that punters can never be certain when those good days will arrive. Two wins from his last six races suggests he's figured something out recently, though the scattered placings in between indicate he hasn't quite solved the puzzle of delivering consistently.
His first career win came at Kempton Park in January 2024, and Arctic Thunder has been steadily climbing ever since. With Ed Walker's yard sending out 76 winners this season, the trainer clearly knows how to get the best out of his horses. For Arctic Thunder, the data points to one clear lesson: keep him at his ideal distance and in races tough enough to suit his profile, and he's a genuine competitor. Stick him in mid-range handicaps at distances that don't suit him, and you'll likely be disappointed.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 27% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Likes
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Likes
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Likes
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Likes
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
26 Sep
7th
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Heavy · 10 runners
4 Sep
6th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 13 runners
8 Aug
🏆 Won
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
21 Jul
🏆 Won
Salisbury
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 4 runners
29 Jun
8th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
5 Jun
6th
Epsom Downs
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 16 runners
6 May
7th
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
17 Apr
12th
Newbury
5f – 6½f · Good · 16 runners
14 Oct
4th
Leicester
7f – 1m · Good · 17 runners
20 Sep
3rd
Newbury
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
| Haydock Park Galloping |
4 |
1 win, 1 second, 2 other |
26 Sep |
25% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
4 |
1 win, 3 other |
29 Jun |
25% |
| Ascot Galloping |
3 |
1 win, 2 other |
4 Sep |
33.3% |
| Newbury Galloping |
2 |
1 third, 1 other |
17 Apr |
0% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
21 Aug |
0% |
| Salisbury Undulating |
1 |
1 win |
21 Jul |
100% |
| York Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
26 Jul |
0% |
| Chester Tight |
1 |
1 other |
6 May |
0% |
| Epsom Downs Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
5 Jun |
0% |
| Leicester Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
14 Oct |
0% |
| Goodwood Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
3 Aug |
0% |
| Lingfield Park Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
25 Nov |
0% |
| Windsor Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
15 Aug |
0% |