Against The Wind
Against The Wind is a 4-year-old that has learned to win at the highest level it regularly contests, but right now it is stuck in a frustrating spell where the wins have dried up. The horse has three victories from 16 races — a modest 19% win rate overall — but those wins tell a clearer story than the bare numbers suggest. Two of them came in Class 2 races, the top tier where this horse competes most often, and the third came on testing ground at Southwell last summer, now 14 months in the past. Since that July victory, Against The Wind has raced six times without winning, though it has picked up three placings, most recently finishing third a few days ago.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Owner
Alison Muir Tonge Colin Paterson
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
The partnership with jockey Tom Eaves looks like the best angle. They have won three of their eight races together — a 38% win rate — which towers above the horse's overall record. That kind of consistency suggests a real understanding between horse and rider. Kevin Ryan's Hambleton yard has been prolific this season with 45 winners, the kind of operation that knows how to get the best out of its inmates. Against The Wind has also proved it has a preference worth noting: on slow, wet ground it wins two out of every three races, compared to a 33% rate at top tracks in normal conditions. That tells you the horse has genuine ability but is much happier when the ground is holding beneath its hooves.
The real question now is whether the recent form is a blip or a sign the horse has hit a ceiling. Three months of racing without a win at this level is worth watching carefully, but the recent third-place finishes suggest it is still competitive. If the yard can thread it back into races run on soft or heavy ground, and if Eaves is in the saddle, Against The Wind could rediscover the winning habit it showed so clearly earlier in its career.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
✔ Effective partnership with Tom Eaves: 38% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
⚠ Yet to win at York in 5 attempts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Loves
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Loves
Class 3 (mid-level)
Likes
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Likes
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Sep
9th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
19 Aug
18th
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
14 May
21th
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
4 Apr
11th
Musselburgh
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
21 Mar
3rd
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 12 runners
21 Sep
3rd
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
28 Aug
6th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 14 runners
13 Jul
🏆 Won
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard_To_Slow · 11 runners
7 Jun
14th
Epsom Downs
5f – 6½f · Good · 18 runners
16 May
3rd
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 22 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
| York Galloping |
5 |
1 third, 4 other |
19 Aug |
0% |
| Southwell Galloping |
4 |
1 win, 2 thirds, 1 other |
21 Mar |
25% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
1 |
1 win |
29 Jun |
100% |
| Thirsk Galloping |
1 |
1 win |
22 Apr |
100% |
| Epsom Downs Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
7 Jun |
0% |
| Ayr Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
20 Sep |
0% |
| Haydock Park Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
6 Jun |
0% |
| Musselburgh Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
4 Apr |
0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
12 Sep |
0% |