Four years into her training career, Tara Lee Cogan is still waiting for that first winner to arrive. Since taking out her licence in 2021, she has sent out 8 runners over the past twelve months without one crossing the line first — a record that reflects the tough reality facing small, independent trainers trying to establish themselves in a fiercely competitive sport.Based on TrackLab's analysis
A snapshot of this trainer's performance over the last 12 months
8
Races
0
Wins
0%
Win rate
avg ~10%
0%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this trainer's record and recent runs
TrackLab's trainer breakdown
The most telling detail is her long-running partnership with Lucky Out, a horse she has saddled for 7 races together without a win. In training terms, that kind of repeated investment in one horse speaks to belief — you don't keep running a horse seven times if you've given up on it. Whether that faith will eventually be rewarded remains the big question hanging over her yard.
Breaking through for a first winner is one of those milestones that can genuinely change the direction of a small operation. It attracts owners, builds confidence, and proves to the wider world that the trainer belongs. Cogan is still on that side of the line, but four years in, she is clearly committed to the job.
📈 Form trend
How this trainer's win rate has changed month by month
Monthly win rate
2024–2026
0%
May
0%
Jun
0%
Jul
0%
Dec
0%
Jan
0%
Feb
33.3%
Mar
0%
May
0%
Jun
0%
Aug
0%
Sep
0%
Jan
🎯 Where this trainer does best
Results split by ground, race level and track shape