The improvement in his numbers is where the real story starts. Last year his win rate sat at around 5% — meaning 1 in every 20 runners made it to the winner's enclosure. This season that has moved to 7%, a meaningful shift that suggests the yard is not just ticking along but actively getting better at placing horses in races they can win. When trainers improve their win rate that noticeably in a single season, it usually means sharper judgement about where to run each horse.
One figure that stands out is his record on wet or muddy ground: 2 wins from 15 races at 13%, which works out to roughly 1 in every 8. That is nearly double his overall rate, and it hints that Attwater has a good eye for identifying which horses in his yard thrive when the conditions turn against them — a useful skill, especially in a British winter.
His most productive jockey partnership is with Paddy Bradley, who has ridden 6 winners from 65 races for the yard, winning roughly 1 in every 11 rides. That is a solid working relationship built over a meaningful number of races, and the consistency of it matters — when a trainer and jockey keep coming back to each other, it tends to mean they trust each other's judgement. His standout individual partnership is with H Key Lails, a horse he has won 4 races with from 36 attempts together. Four wins from 36 might not jump off the page, but getting multiple wins out of the same horse over time is a sign of a trainer who knows what he has and how to keep getting the best from it.
Still only four years in, Attwater is building something. The numbers are heading in the right direction, and there is enough detail in them to suggest this is not a yard running on luck.
| Course | Races | Wins | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lingfield Park | 103 | 6 | 5.8% |
| Brighton | 57 | 4 | 7.0% |
| chelmsford | 45 | 4 | 8.9% |
| Kempton Park | 35 | 2 | 5.7% |
| Wolverhampton | 34 | 2 | 5.9% |
| Bath | 17 | 2 | 11.8% |
| Windsor | 14 | 2 | 14.3% |
| Southwell | 13 | 1 | 7.7% |
| Epsom Downs | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Chepstow | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Leicester | 6 | 0 | 0% |
| Goodwood | 6 | 0 | 0% |
| Great Yarmouth | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Sandown Park | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Ffos Las | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Newmarket | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Salisbury | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Worcester | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Stratford-on-Avon | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Ascot | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Huntingdon | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Chester | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Uttoxeter | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Fakenham | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% |