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Arantes Nascimento

At five years old, Arantes Nascimento is a well-travelled competitor who has found life at the races genuinely tough — two wins from 27 races tells you this is a horse that earns its keep through consistency rather than brilliance. That 7% win rate means he wins roughly 1 in every 14 races, which is modest, but the 13 places alongside those wins paint a more honest picture: this is a horse that shows up, competes, and rarely embarrasses itself.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Charm Spirit
Mother
Flame Out
Owner
Dare To Dream Racing
Rating
75

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
27
Career races
2
Wins
7.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
48.1%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

His most productive distance sits between seven furlongs and a mile, where he has won 2 of his 15 races at that range — a 13% win rate, or roughly 1 in 8. That is a meaningful improvement on his overall record and suggests trainer Michael Attwater, based at Epsom in Surrey, has a clear idea of where this horse belongs. Attwater's yard has sent out 27 winners this season, which is a healthy output for a stable of this level, and it is clear he knows how to place a horse like this to best effect.

The most recent win came at Kempton Park in April 2026, three months ago now, and the current form figures make for interesting reading: a blank run, then a seventh, then a win, then two seconds, and most recently a sixth. That is not a horse in decline — it is one that blows hot and cold, as many at this level do. Ryan Sexton, who rides him most regularly, has won 1 of their 8 races together — roughly 1 in 8 — which is a reasonable partnership without being a spectacular one.

Arantes Nascimento mostly operates at Class 5, the more competitive end of everyday racing, where he has won just 1 of 14 races at that level. The fact that he raced just one day ago and is classed as currently active underlines that this is a horse in regular work. He is not one for the big days, but for anyone watching a mid-week card at Kempton or a similar track, he is exactly the kind of honest, consistent performer that makes up the backbone of British racing.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 13% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
5F – 6½F
Avoids
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Jul
6th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 18 runners
9 Jun
2nd
Salisbury
5f – 6½f · Soft · 11 runners
16 May
2nd
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
8 Apr
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
7f – 1m · Standard_To_Slow · 12 runners
18 Mar
7th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 13 runners
26 Feb
DNF
chelmsford
7f – 1m · Standard · 8 runners
19 Jan
2nd
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
2 Jan
2nd
chelmsford
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
17 Dec
2nd
Lingfield Park
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners
1 Dec
5th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
12.5%
Win rate
1/8
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
Kieren Fox Current Jockey
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Tom Kiely-Marshall
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
6 1 win, 2 seconds, 3 other 11 Jan 16.7%
Kempton Park
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 8 Apr 33.3%
chelmsford 2 1 second, 1 other 26 Feb 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
2 2 other 21 Apr 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 2 Jul 0%
Ascot
Galloping
2 2 other 11 Jul 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Sep 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 third 13 Jun 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 11 May 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 3 May 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 second 19 Jan 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 second 17 Dec 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 6 Jun 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 second 29 May 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 second 16 May 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 second 9 Jun 0%