+A. King wins 14.8% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
+A. King wins 14.8% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
−A. King has an 11.7% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Waverley is a three-year-old making its racecourse debut, so the form book offers nothing to judge it by. By Camelot out of a Sea The Stars mare, both parents were serious racehorses, which is an encouraging pedigree. Trainer Alan King and jockey Tom Cannon have combined for 120 wins from 809 rides together, the strongest partnership record in this field, and the horse wears a hood for the first time on its debut.
+J. Moore & Josh Moore wins 16.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
+A 9-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
−The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
New Addington Boy is a three-year-old on its first racecourse appearance, so there is no record to judge. By Frontiersman out of a Jeremy mare, the horse sits in middle-distance bloodlines without any obvious advantage or drawback. Trainers Jamie and Josh Moore and jockey Caoilin Quinn are working together for the first time, so there is no shared history to draw on.
+C. Williams has won 23.3% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
+This trainer does well at this course. Trainers who know a course understand what suits it.
−Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
Noe Le Dun is a debutant with no form, so its own ability is untested. The model rates it more highly mainly because trainer Chester Williams has a win rate of around 1 in 4 runners, and his partnership with jockey Lorcan Williams has produced 5 wins from 18 rides together. The horse is by Bathyrhon out of a Fragrant Mix mare, but breeding alone tells us little about how it will run.
+J. Portman wins 8.0% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
+B. Jones wins 15.8% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
−J. Portman wins only 7.2% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Folkham is a complete unknown, having never raced before and with no form to judge. By Roseman out of an Authorized mare, the pedigree points to a horse bred with racing in mind, but that is only a theory until the gates open. The jockey and trainer are also new to each other, so there is no shared record to lean on.
+A. Wedge wins 11.2% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
+A. Hales has won 9.1% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
−The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
By Your Leave is making a racecourse debut with no prior form, so there is nothing to measure it against yet. The colt is by Jack Hobbs, a sire of multiple Group winners, and out of an Authorized mare, both respected names in racing breeding. Adam Wedge and Alex Hales have not yet combined often, with just one win from six rides together, so that is a modest record to weigh.
+I. Furtado wins 9.2% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
+9 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
−A 5.9% record at this course for I. Furtado. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Arco Sancho is having a racecourse debut with no form to judge, so nothing on the page can separate it from the field. Sired by Siyouni, a stallion known for producing winners, and out of a Dalakhani mare, the pedigree gives some hope but proves nothing on its own. The horse has also had wind surgery, which is worth knowing, though it does not tell us how fast it will run.
+J. Tudor has won 11.7% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
+This is a 9-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
−S. Hosie has a 7.9% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
Hosiery makes a racecourse debut with no form, so its ability remains untested. Sired by Blue Bresil and out of a King's Theatre mare, it carries a reasonable pedigree, but breeding cannot tell us how it will handle a race. Trainer Syd Hosie and jockey Jack Tudor are a new partnership, and neither has a notable recent run of winners to point to.
+Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
+There is £2,451 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
−S. Houlihan has a 6.3% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
TrackLab Insight
James Dean has one previous run on record: a 5th-place finish, beaten 3.8 lengths, at Huntingdon 39 days ago. That is a modest but real starting point, and it is the only form in this field that we can point to. Our rating of 100 is the only one held for any runner here, though the rating rests on limited data and the other eight remain hard to compare with him.
+C. Gethings has won 9.7% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
+9 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
−R. Stephens has an 8.3% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
Victory V is making a racecourse debut with no prior form to assess. Sired by Churchill, a stallion who has produced useful racehorses, and out of an Iffraaj mare, the pedigree is respectable. Trainer Robert Stephens and jockey Ciaran Gethings have won only 3 times from 44 rides together, a modest record that is worth noting.
Trainer S. Hosie: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
Age 3, weight 11st 2lb
James Dean (no. 5)
Jockey S. Houlihan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
Trainer P. Phelan: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
Age 3, weight 11st 2lb
Victory V (no. 8)
Jockey C. Gethings: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
Trainer R. Stephens: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
Age 3, weight 11st 2lb
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shotScores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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