+Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
+A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
−1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
TrackLab Insight
Seven Kites has finished in the top 3 in two of his three races, with his most recent run a 2nd-place finish at Uttoxeter. He carries the lowest weight in the field and is lightly raced at just three career starts. He is yet to win, so his form remains promising but unproven.
Carries lowest weight in fieldLightly raced (3 career races)
+A 21.4% win rate at this course for O. Murphy. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
+An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
−Its average finish over the last three races is 3. That is too far back. Its results have not been steady lately.
TrackLab Insight
The model rates this horse more highly because he is a course winner at Uttoxeter, his trainer has a good record at this track, and he has a strong partnership with jockey Sean Bowen. The weakness is his modest career record, with just 2 wins from 9 races, and he was well beaten in his most recent run at Perth. His rating is level with Stone's Throw at the top of the field, so he has to prove he can handle this company.
+This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
+This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
−N. Hawke has a 7.8% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
Torrent is the most experienced horse in the field, with 27 races behind him, and has finished in the top 3 in each of his last three outings. He is also the lowest-rated runner here, so he needs to keep improving to trouble the leaders. His record on good ground is poor, and he has never won at Chepstow.
+A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
+An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
−Has not raced for 246 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
TrackLab Insight
Stone's Throw has the best career win rate in the field, winning roughly 1 in 3 of his races, and he is currently active after a recent run. He has a strong record on good ground, winning 2 of his 3 starts on it. His form is less settled than his win rate suggests, with a 7th-place finish in his last run before the most recent one.
Never raced on normal groundBest career win rate in field (1 in 3)
+This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
+8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
−Finished 11th last time, which was a disappointing run. A poor last run raises questions about the horse's current form.
TrackLab Insight
Warriors Destiny is the highest-rated horse in the field on 120 and has one win from five career races, a victory at Uttoxeter. He has not raced on normal ground, which leaves his form on it untested. His most recent run was an 11th-place finish, and he has been away for 245 days, so his current level is unclear.
+A 3m race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
+A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
−Has not raced for 242 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
TrackLab Insight
Kalhandrion has run only once, finishing 3rd at Wetherby, so there is very little data to judge him by. He is lightly raced and has never raced on normal ground. His jockey and trainer have not had a win together in 17 races, which adds to the uncertainty.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (1 career races)
+8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
+This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
−A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
TrackLab Insight
Kahavari has finished in the top 3 in five of his last six races but has only one win in 13 career starts. He has a good record on good ground, winning 1 of 3 starts on it. He has a poor record on softer ground, with no wins from 9 starts on good to soft or soft going, so conditions matter for him.
+Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
+This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
−Has not raced for 702 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
TrackLab Insight
Shy Love is the only horse in the field to have been off the track for over a year, having last raced 702 days ago. His one win in five races came well before that layoff, and his most recent runs ended well beaten. Anyone expecting a sharp return from such a long break should weigh that uncertainty carefully.
Absent 702 days (longest in field)
Full stats
Seven Kites (no. 8)
Jockey S. Sheppard: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
Trainer T. Lacey: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
Trainer F. O'Brien: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
Age 8, weight 11st 6lb, official rating 112
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shotScores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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TrackLab