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Welsh Charger

Welsh Charger has the build of a horse that wins consistently at a certain level, and the record to back it up. At eight years old, this is a seasoned operator in the thick of the action, not a star in waiting. Trained by Alastair Ralph at Bridgnorth, Welsh Charger has picked up 6 wins from 21 races, winning roughly 3 in every 10 times out.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Westerner
Mother
Answer Ur Phone
Owner
Jones Spiers Hartwell
Official rating
123

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
21
Career races
6
Wins
28.6%
Win rate
avg ~10%
38.1%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
7 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The horse thrives when the ground turns against softer conditions — it has won 2 of its last 3 races on wet or muddy ground, a 67 per cent win rate that tells you everything about where its strength lies. Ludlow is Welsh Charger's spiritual home. At that track alone, it has won 2 of 3 races, the sort of course dominance that makes jockeys and trainers sit up. Most encouragingly, when paired with jockey Jonathan Burke, the pair click: they have posted 3 wins from 7 rides together, a 43 per cent success rate that significantly outstrips the horse's overall form. That partnership matters.

The horse's biggest win came at Class 2 level on muddy ground at Musselburgh on 1 February 2025, a top-tier victory that proved it can mix it with better horses when conditions align. Since then, however, Welsh Charger has endured a frustrating spell, failing to win in its last 6 races. A recent setback at Musselburgh — where it wheeled round at the start and unseated its rider — has disrupted the yard's plans, but trainer Ralph has already mapped out a route back to form. The intention is to tackle a race at Taunton before heading to bigger targets, suggesting the yard still believes this eight-year-old has meaningful wins left to give. Recent form has stalled, but the foundation remains solid: a horse that wins at Class 4 level more often than not, loves the mud, and has shown it belongs in better company when everything clicks.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)
✔ Effective partnership with Jonathan Burke: 43% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 1 wins from 8 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Good to soft (some give)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
1M6F – 2M
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Avoids
Class 2 (high-level)
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Oct
8th
Chepstow
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
18 Apr
7th
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 10 runners
12 Feb
6th
Taunton
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 8 runners
31 Jan
DNF
Musselburgh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
20 Dec
6th
Ascot
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
16 Nov
4th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 20 runners
10 May
14th
Haydock Park
1m6f – 2m · Good · 17 runners
12 Apr
5th
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
1 Feb
🏆 Won
Musselburgh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
28 Dec
7th
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Jonathan Burke Current jockey
42.9%
Win rate
3/7
Wins / rides
42.9%
Win rate
3/7
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Jay Tidball
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Ludlow
Undulating
3 2 wins, 1 second 23 Mar 66.7%
Musselburgh
Sharp
3 2 wins, 1 other 31 Jan 66.7%
Ayr
Galloping
2 2 other 18 Apr 0%
Newbury
Galloping
2 2 other 28 Dec 0%
Huntingdon
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 25 Nov 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 win 26 Dec 100%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 win 1 Nov 100%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Mar 0%
Bangor-on-Dee
Sharp
1 1 other 9 Apr 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Dec 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Oct 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Nov 0%
Taunton
Undulating
1 1 other 12 Feb 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 10 May 0%