Twitch

The details reveal a horse with very specific preferences. On normal ground, he wins roughly 1 in every 7 or 8 races (3 wins from 23), almost double his overall rate. Give him a mile or a shade under, and his win rate jumps to 12 percent (3 wins from 24). Most tellingly, at Chelmsford he has won 2 of his 8 races there—a 25 percent win rate that makes it his fortress course. His trainer Craig Benton at Epsom has found his level too: in Class 6 races, Twitch has won 2 of 17 (12 percent). These are not the statistics of a horse that wins everywhere, but of one who has been figured out by his yard and whose chances improve dramatically when conditions align.

Georgia Dobie, his most frequent jockey, has ridden him 20 times and won twice—a 10 percent rate that is marginally better than his baseline, though not transformative. His recent form has been modest: placed once in his last six races, with mostly mid-field finishes. But he raced just yesterday and remains active. At nine years old, Twitch is a journeyman who knows where he wins and where he does not. He will never be fashionable, but if you spot him in the Chelmsford card on decent ground over a mile, running in Class 6, he deserves a second look.