L J Ferraris

His most reliable partnership is with trainer Mark Newnham, who has given him 75 rides over that time. Yet they have only won four of those races together, a 5% return—barely better than his overall average. More striking is his work with Incredible Moment: six races, no wins. That blank record hints at a mismatch between horse and rider, something that happens even with experienced professionals.

The data does reveal one genuine strength: Ferraris has a real edge on normal ground, where he has won four of 25 races (16%). On a standard, dry racecourse he performs well above his seasonal average. It is the kind of specific detail that matters to those who work with him—knowing that his book improves when conditions favour quick going. As he enters his fifth year of riding, consistency will be the test. Four years in is still building time, and a win rate of 1 in 14 is solid enough to keep opportunities coming.