Tribal Star
Tribal Star is a 5-year-old that has won twice in 24 races — a win rate of roughly one victory in every 12 outings. It sounds modest on paper, but the real story is where and how those wins have come. The horse has become something of a specialist at Dundalk, winning twice from nine races there, and both victories came on normal ground conditions, the surface where it performs at its best. With
Adam Caffrey in the saddle, the horse has a much stronger record: two wins from ten races together, a 20% win rate that suggests the partnership clicks. That's the kind of detail that tells you there's something worth watching here, even if the overall numbers don't leap off the page.
Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Owner
Dooley Tbreds/j Fairhurst/kabin Synd
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
58.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
What's interesting is that Tribal Star hasn't won in its last six races, the most recent outing just a day ago resulting in twelfth place. The horse clearly prefers distances between a mile and six furlongs and two miles — a range where it has won one of seven races — and when asked to race at the very top level (Class 2), it hasn't managed a win in three attempts. This suggests Tribal Star has found its level at slightly lower-grade races, where the competition suits it better. Trainer A McGuinness, based at Lusk in County Dublin, has had a strong season with 45 winners, and the yard knows how to place this horse to advantage. The last win came at Dundalk on 15 August 2025, now a full year ago. At five years old, with form like this, Tribal Star is unlikely to be destined for the very top, but it remains a horse capable of winning when conditions and company align — and Caffrey in the saddle raises its chances noticeably.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 12 starts (17%)
✔ Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 12% win rate
✔ Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 14% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
15 Aug
12th
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 14 runners
31 Jul
10th
Galway
1m6f – 2m · Yielding_To_Soft · 18 runners
14 Jul
2nd
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
27 Jun
11th
Newcastle
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard_To_Slow · 20 runners
3 Jun
9th
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 12 runners
8 May
3rd
Chester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 17 runners
27 Feb
DNF
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 15 runners
6 Feb
3rd
Dundalk
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 7 runners
16 Jan
3rd
Dundalk
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 6 runners
28 Sep
23th
The Curragh
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 33 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|
| Dundalk Galloping |
9 |
2 wins, 2 seconds, 3 thirds, 2 other |
15 Aug |
22.2% |
| The Curragh Galloping |
4 |
4 other |
3 Jun |
0% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
3 |
1 second, 2 other |
27 Jun |
0% |
| Chester Tight |
2 |
2 thirds |
8 May |
0% |
| Killarney Sharp |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
14 Jul |
0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
13 Mar |
0% |
| Galway Tight |
1 |
1 other |
31 Jul |
0% |
| Newmarket Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
25 Oct |
0% |
| chelmsford |
1 |
1 second |
11 Nov |
0% |