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Tribal Moon

There's a horse that knows exactly where it likes to race, and that place is Dundalk. Tribal Moon has built its entire career around that one track, winning both of its races there from 11 visits — a record that tells you this isn't coincidence. For context, its overall win rate sits at just 9%, or 2 wins from 22 races, so the fact that both of those wins have come at the same venue is striking. Some horses just click with a particular track — the surface, the shape of the bends, the way the ground rides — and Dundalk appears to be Tribal Moon's happy place.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Teofilo
Mother
Lunar Maria
Owner
All Play No Work Syndicate
Rating
105

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
22
Career races
2
Wins
9.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
40.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The five-year-old is trained by Noel C Kelly, operating out of Draperstown in County Derry. It's a yard that has punched out 14 winners already this season, so there's clearly a competent operation behind this horse. Tribal Moon tends to show up on normal ground and over a distance of around a mile to a mile and a quarter — it has won 2 of its 12 races at that trip, or roughly 1 in every 6, which is a meaningful pattern when you're trying to understand where its best chance comes from.

The recent form makes for slightly frustrating reading. Tribal Moon hasn't won in its last six races, with finishes reading 3-3-2-7-3-12 going back from that last victory in January 2025 — which, given the horse raced just one day ago, now sits 18 months in the past. That second-place finish in the sequence shows it's still competitive and knocking on the door, but converting hasn't happened yet. The 12th-place run is the one blot, though a single bad day doesn't define a horse's ability.

What keeps the story interesting is the Dundalk factor. With 11 races there and two wins, Tribal Moon is winning roughly 1 in every 5 and a half times it lines up at that track — compared to zero wins from 11 races everywhere else. If the trainer sends it back to Dundalk on the right ground and at the right distance, you'd be foolish to dismiss it entirely. The wins are there. It just needs the right circumstances to find them again.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 11 starts (18%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 17% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
Avoids
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
14 Jul
12th
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 18 runners
26 Jun
3rd
Cartmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
14 Jun
7th
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 14 runners
28 Nov
2nd
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 17 runners
24 Oct
3rd
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 17 runners
10 Oct
3rd
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 17 runners
13 Jul
11th
Sligo
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 14 runners
23 Jun
13th
Ballinrobe
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 13 runners
5 Jun
4th
Leopardstown
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 19 runners
21 Mar
3rd
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Darragh O'Sullivan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
11 2 wins, 2 seconds, 4 thirds, 3 other 28 Nov 18.2%
Galway
Tight
2 2 other 10 Sep 0%
Downpatrick
Undulating
2 2 other 14 Jul 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Jun 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 other 23 Jun 0%
Sligo
Sharp
1 1 other 13 Jul 0%
Cartmel
Tight
1 1 third 26 Jun 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Oct 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 other 7 Oct 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Aug 0%