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Tribal Moon

Tribal Moon is a five-year-old with two wins from 27 races, which puts it among the bread-and-butter horses that keep jump racing yards ticking over. It wins roughly 1 in every 13 races overall, a modest return, but there are encouraging patterns buried in these numbers if you know where to look.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Teofilo
Mother
Lunar Maria
Trainer
Noel C. Kelly
Owner
All Play No Work Syndicate
Official rating
69

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
27
Career races
2
Wins
7.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
33.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
2 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The horse has found a real home at Dundalk, winning 2 of its 13 races there — a 15% win rate at that track compared to just 7% across all its races. It last won there on 14 January 2025, which now sits more than a year in the past, but the track still suits it better than anywhere else. Tribal Moon also performs noticeably better on normal, dry ground than on wet or muddy surfaces: it has won 2 of 13 races on good conditions versus nothing from its other 14 starts on softer ground. Distance-wise, it thrives at 1m1f to 1m2f, winning 2 of 12 races in that range—another 17% success rate.

Trainer Noel C. Kelly, based at Draperstown in Co. Derry, has sent out 14 winners this season and clearly knows how to get the best from a horse when the conditions and course align. That said, Tribal Moon has now gone without a win for six consecutive races after racing yesterday, so it will need those perfect circumstances—Dundalk, normal ground, the right trip—to get back in the winner's circle. It remains a useful tool for the yard, but one that performs best when the set-up is right rather than a horse that can win anywhere.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 13 starts (15%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 17% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 9 starts
⚠ Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
Avoids
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
Right-handed, tight
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Oct
7th
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 17 runners
25 Sep
6th
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 17 runners
31 Aug
6th
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
9 Aug
5th
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
1 Aug
15th
Galway
1m3f – 1m4f · Yielding · 21 runners
14 Jul
12th
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 18 runners
26 Jun
3rd
Cartmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
14 Jun
7th
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 14 runners
28 Nov
2nd
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 17 runners
24 Oct
3rd
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 17 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Darragh O'Sullivan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
13 2 wins, 2 seconds, 4 thirds, 5 other 16 Oct 15.4%
Downpatrick
Undulating
4 4 other 31 Aug 0%
Galway
Tight
3 3 other 1 Aug 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 other 23 Jun 0%
Sligo
Sharp
1 1 other 13 Jul 0%
Cartmel
Tight
1 1 third 26 Jun 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Aug 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Oct 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Jun 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 other 7 Oct 0%