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Toca Madera

Toca Madera has been a dependable midfield horse for trainer David O'Meara, winning 5 of its 34 races for a win rate of roughly 1 in 7 attempts. The five-year-old was first to the post at Bath in June 2023 and has since accumulated 15 top-3 finishes, suggesting it performs better when races suit it than the bare win tally might suggest. What stands out is its recent form: it has won two of its last six races, and just last week scored at York on October 9th, showing it remains a horse capable of finding the winner's enclosure when conditions align.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Bated Breath
Mother
Hala Hala
Owner
L Bond Sheikh Aymen Jawad Al Hamandi
Official rating
99

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
34
Career races
5
Wins
14.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
44.1%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
1 day
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The pattern of Toca Madera's career tells an interesting story. It has never won in eleven attempts at the highest Class 2 level, which is telling — this is a horse that operates effectively at lower grades but struggles when the standard rises. Its recent six races show a mix of mediocrity and sharp form: an eighth place, a win, a top-3 finish, then a poor twelfth, followed by another second place and a sixteenth. That inconsistency is typical of a horse that punches hard on its day but cannot be relied upon week in and week out.

Interestingly, Tommie Jakes, Toca Madera's most frequent rider, has yet to win aboard the horse despite five rides together. A change of jockey might sometimes find a better rhythm, or it may simply reflect that Jakes has been aboard during tougher assignments. What matters now is that O'Meara's yard at Upper Helmsley, which has sent out 101 winners this season, keeps Toca Madera active and pointed toward the races where it competes best — away from the elite level and on courses where it has already proven it can win.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Yet to win at Ascot in 7 attempts
⚠ Yet to win at Goodwood in 6 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 10 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Ok
Good (a little give)
Ok
Firm (dry)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
Sprint (< 5F)
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Avoids
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Ok
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
17 Oct
8th
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
9 Oct
🏆 Won
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 18 runners
22 Sep
🏆 Won
Beverley
5f – 6½f · Good · 7 runners
12 Sep
12th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
29 Aug
2nd
Goodwood
5f – 6½f · Soft · 8 runners
22 Aug
16th
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 20 runners
19 Aug
3rd
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
1 Aug
5th
Goodwood
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 28 runners
28 Jul
4th
Goodwood
5f – 6½f · Good · 24 runners
11 Jul
12th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 16 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/5
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/5
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Olivia Tubb
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Ascot
Galloping
7 7 other 11 Jul 0%
York
Galloping
6 1 win, 3 thirds, 2 other 9 Oct 16.7%
Goodwood
Undulating
6 1 second, 2 thirds, 3 other 29 Aug 0%
Windsor
Sharp
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 30 Jun 33.3%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 12 Sep 50%
Bath
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 third 9 Jun 50%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 third 17 Apr 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 win 22 Sep 100%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Aug 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 2 May 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Jun 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Sep 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 17 Oct 0%