Tiberio Force

What makes Tiberio Force genuinely interesting is his strong form at distances between a mile and a furlong and a mile and two furlongs. Over that stretch, he has won 2 of his last 15 races — nearly 13 per cent, double his overall win rate. This is the sweet spot where he seems to run to his best, suggesting that when the yard gets the distance right, his chances improve noticeably. Lewis Edmunds, his most frequent jockey, has ridden him seven times and won once together, a win rate of 14 per cent that is fractionally better than the horse's average.

Tiberio Force's recent form is mixed. In his last six races, he has finished outside the top 3 four times, with a best finish of third. That third place came two races back and suggests he is not running poorly, but he has not quite found that consistency needed to rack up the wins. Trained by Simon Whitaker at Scarcroft in West Yorkshire, the horse competes almost entirely in Class 6 races — the lowest tier of competitive flat racing — where he has won twice from 36 attempts. At seven years old and with nearly 50 races under his belt, Tiberio Force is what racing calls a campaigner: a horse that earns its keep by showing up and trying hard week after week, even if a stakes day win will never come.