:

Thunderbear

Five wins and twelve places from 35 races — that's a horse who turns up, competes, and makes his the yard count more often than not. Thunderbear has been around the block, and at six years old, he's right in the prime of a racing career, still active and still finding ways to get his nose in front.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Kodi Bear
Mother
Speronella
Owner
William Armitage & Jwd Partnership
Rating
98

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
35
Career races
5
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
34.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The headline moment came at Newbury on 23 September 2023, when Thunderbear won a Class 1 race — one of the top races in Britain. That's a serious achievement for any horse, and it marks him out as genuinely talented rather than just a solid performer at a lower level. His first career win had come about a year earlier, at Fairyhouse in September 2022, so he took his time getting started before finding his best form.

His overall win rate sits at around 14%, or roughly 1 in every 7 races, which is a respectable return across 35 starts. He's also placed — finishing second or third — twelve times, meaning he's been in the mix for a result in more than nearly half his races. That kind of consistency matters. Interestingly, though, when he steps up to Class 2 company, he's gone 0 from 4 — hasn't converted any of those four chances into a win, which suggests the very top tier suits him better on his day than the level just below it. That's an odd quirk, but racing throws those up regularly.

His most recent win came at Naas on 11 October 2025, and his last six runs read 23-11-6-1-5-–, with that "1" — a win — buried in the sequence. He's been ridden most often by Ronan Whelan, who has partnered him ten times for one win together, roughly a 1-in-10 conversion. That's modest, but ten rides is a real partnership, and clearly the team keeps coming back to the same combination.

Thunderbear is trained by Jack W Davison, based in Dunboyne, County Meath — a yard that has sent out 8 winners already this season, so the operation is in decent health. He raced just one day ago, meaning this is a horse very much in the thick of things right now, and with a Class 1 win already on his record, there's every reason to keep watching.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at The Curragh in 7 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Yielding (slightly soft)
Heavy (very wet)
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Loves
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
20 Jun
23th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 28 runners
27 Apr
11th
Naas
5f – 6½f · Good · 16 runners
4 Apr
6th
Cork
5f – 6½f · Soft · 11 runners
11 Oct
🏆 Won
Naas
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 11 runners
6 Sep
5th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 16 runners
29 Jun
DNF
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good · 28 runners
7 Jun
3rd
Navan
5f – 6½f · Good · 8 runners
9 Nov
3rd
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Soft · 11 runners
12 Oct
2nd
Naas
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 9 runners
5 Oct
2nd
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
10%
Win rate
1/10
Won / Rode
James Ryan Current Jockey
14.3%
Win rate
1/7
Won / Rode
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Bauyrzhan Murzabayev
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
W J Lee
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
7 1 second, 6 other 29 Jun 0%
Naas
Galloping
6 1 win, 1 second, 4 other 27 Apr 16.7%
Ascot
Galloping
4 4 other 20 Jun 0%
Navan
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 third 7 Jun 33.3%
Dundalk
Galloping
3 3 other 12 Jul 0%
Galway
Tight
2 2 other 4 Aug 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 6 Apr 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 win 2 May 100%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 win 19 Sep 100%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 win 23 Sep 100%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Apr 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 second 17 Jun 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 9 Nov 0%
Bath
Undulating
1 1 other 7 Apr 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 25 May 0%