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Thunder Run

Thunder Run is a five-year-old with the kind of raw talent that makes trainers sit up and take notice. He has won five of his nineteen races—roughly one in every four starts—and his recent form suggests he is hitting top gear at exactly the right moment. Four weeks ago he won at Doncaster, and before that he delivered a particularly impressive victory at York in May, stepping up in distance and storming home in a Class 2 race. That win came fresh off a tougher outing in the Lincoln, where he tired late on but clearly benefited from the experience.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Night Of Thunder
Mother
Astonished
Trainer
K. R. Burke
Owner
The Jc Organization Partner
Official rating
107

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
19
Career races
5
Wins
26.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
47.4%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
8 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Trainer K. R. Burke, based in Coverham, North Yorkshire, has always believed Thunder Run will develop into something special—a Group horse capable of competing at the highest level. The breakthrough came at York, where the step up in trip proved crucial. Thunder Run loves normal, standard ground conditions (winning two of five races on that surface, a 40 per cent win rate) and performs best over distances between seven furlongs and a mile, winning half his races over that range. At York specifically, he has won twice in seven attempts. Burke's instructions to his jockey on that May victory were emphatic: do not go out and make the running. But Thunder Run had other ideas, jumping out sharply and seizing the lead with a boldness that nearly undid him. Coming home, he had burned so much fuel early on that he was struggling in the final hundred yards—"on fresh air" as Burke put it—and only his courage got him over the line. That recklessness cost him dearly later, but it also revealed something valuable: once Thunder Run learns to settle and race with economy rather than brute force, he will be ready for Listed or Group races.

He remains a work in progress, still very much raw and unpredictable. But the trajectory is unmistakable. With Clifford Lee aboard and Burke's steady hand in the yard, Thunder Run looks primed for a significant step up in class.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 50% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Ok
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Ok
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
10 Oct
9th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 20 runners
26 Sep
24th
Newmarket
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 28 runners
12 Sep
🏆 Won
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 13 runners
22 Aug
2nd
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
11 Jul
7th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 22 runners
17 Jun
15th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 30 runners
15 May
2nd
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 17 runners
6 Apr
7th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 7 runners
27 Sep
22th
Newmarket
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 24 runners
23 Aug
4th
Windsor
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 5 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
20%
Win rate
1/5
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
2/4
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
York
Galloping
7 2 wins, 2 seconds, 3 other 10 Oct 28.6%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 third 3 Aug 50%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 12 Sep 50%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 2 other 26 Sep 0%
Ascot
Galloping
2 2 other 17 Jun 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 win 18 Jul 100%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 23 Aug 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Apr 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 second 11 Jun 0%