:

Three Card Brag

Three Card Brag is a nine-year-old who has quietly become one of racing's more frustrating puzzles — talented enough to win at one of the biggest venues in the sport, yet just awkward enough to make it genuinely hard work. His record reads five wins and 14 places from 21 races, which means he wins roughly 1 in every 4 races he enters (24%) and finishes in the top three nearly every other time. That is the profile of a horse who shows up, competes, and almost always gives his the yard a sweat — just not always the right kind.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Jet Away
Mother
Belon Breeze
Owner
McNeill Family & Patrick & Scott Bryceland
Rating
156

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
21
Career races
5
Wins
23.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
66.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The headline moment came at Cheltenham on 25 October 2025, when he landed a top-class Class 2 race. Cheltenham is the sport's most celebrated venue, and winning there at that level is the kind of result trainers spend careers chasing. Gordon Elliott, who operates out of Longwood in County Meath and has sent out a staggering 209 winners just this season alone, admitted the horse had been knocking on the door in these big races for years. The problem, Elliott explained, is that every time Three Card Brag wins or runs well, the authorities raise the weight he carries in future races — making the next win harder than the last. It is the sport's equivalent of being promoted every time you hit your targets, until eventually the job becomes nearly impossible.

On very wet, muddy ground, Three Card Brag is a different animal entirely. He has won 2 of just 3 races in those conditions — a 67% win rate that no amount of number-crunching can make look like a coincidence. If the forecast is wet, he is worth watching very closely.

At the very highest level — the top Class 1 races — he has yet to convert, going 0 from 3. His run in the Grand National, the most famous race in the world, gave a clue as to why. Jockey Sean Bowen reported that Three Card Brag was almost too enthusiastic, jumping so fluently and travelling so well through the early stages that he burned through his energy reserves long before the finish came into sight. There is a horse capable of winning a Grand National somewhere in there; the challenge is persuading him to save something for later.

Jack Kennedy, who has ridden him six times and won once together, will be familiar with that challenge. Three Card Brag raced just yesterday and remains an active, live contender — a nine-year-old who has learned a great deal, but perhaps not quite everything yet.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft_to_heavy ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft to heavy (wet)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Heavy (very wet)
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Avoids
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Apr
9th
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 37 runners
21 Feb
7th
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 10 runners
29 Nov
2nd
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 24 runners
25 Oct
🏆 Won
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 18 runners
24 Sep
2nd
Listowel
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 21 runners
30 Jul
8th
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 22 runners
5 Apr
11th
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 34 runners
9 Feb
3rd
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 5 runners
18 Jan
🏆 Won
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 12 runners
27 Dec
7th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 28 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
A P Heskin
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
Jordan Gainford Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
Davy Russell
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Carl Millar
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Navan
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 thirds 9 Feb 33.3%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 21 Feb 33.3%
Punchestown
Galloping
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 30 Apr 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 25 Oct 50%
Galway
Tight
2 1 win, 1 other 30 Jul 50%
Aintree
Galloping
2 2 other 11 Apr 0%
Wexford
Sharp
1 1 win 6 Mar 100%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 second 20 Dec 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 third 3 Dec 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Dec 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 second 24 Sep 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 second 29 Nov 0%