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Thestral

There is something quietly promising about a three-year-old who has only just started to figure things out. Thestral has raced seven times in total, winning once and finishing in the placings on three other occasions — so while the overall numbers (one win from seven races, roughly 1 in 7) might not leap off the page, the pattern of those runs tells a more interesting story.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Dream Ahead
Mother
Vasilia
Owner
Vefa Ibrahim Araci
Rating
65

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
7
Career races
1
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That sole win came at Newcastle on 19 December 2025, and it was significant for a couple of reasons. First, it came over seven furlongs to a mile — and Thestral's record over that trip is quietly impressive, with 1 win from just 3 races at that distance, meaning it has won a third of its races when conditions suit. That is a meaningful number. Second, it came in winter, at a track that rewards horses who are genuine and tough rather than flashy. Thestral showed up and delivered.

The recent form tells the story of a horse in flux. Reading the last six runs from most recent back — 10th, 3rd, 2nd, 10th, 8th, 1st — you can see the wins and near-misses sandwiched around some difficult outings. Two of those six runs ended in the top three, two ended near the back of the field. That kind of inconsistency is not unusual for a three-year-old still working things out, but it does mean Thestral rewards patience rather than blind faith. The trainer will be watching closely to understand when this horse is at its best.

Hugo Palmer, based in Malpas, Cheshire, has sent out 67 winners this season — a strong return that marks his yard as one that knows how to place horses in races they can win. That experience matters when you have a horse like Thestral, who clearly has ability but needs to be managed carefully to show it consistently. Palmer will have a clear picture of where this horse fits and what it needs.

Thestral raced just one day ago, which means it is right in the thick of its campaign. At three years old, with a win already banked and a pair of place finishes showing it can compete, the next few months will tell us whether that December win was a breakthrough moment or simply a good day. Either way, this is a horse worth keeping an eye on.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 33% win rate

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
8 Jul
10th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · 14 runners
15 Jun
3rd
Wetherby
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners
12 May
2nd
Lingfield Park
7f – 1m · Standard · 8 runners
12 Apr
10th
Musselburgh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 13 runners
25 Mar
8th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners
19 Dec
🏆 Won
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 7 runners
22 Nov
5th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 19 Dec 50%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 2 other 8 Jul 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 second 12 May 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 12 Apr 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 third 15 Jun 0%