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Thestral

Thestral won for the first time in December at Newcastle, and has been chasing that feeling ever since. The three-year-old has raced ten times in total and found the winning post just once, a win rate that tells you this is a horse still learning its trade. Over the past six outings, there have been flashes of promise — a second place and a third place — but nothing that has quite tipped into another win. That victory at Newcastle ten months ago now feels like a distant memory.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Dream Ahead
Mother
Vasilia
Owner
Alan Dean
Official rating
57

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
10
Career races
1
Wins
10%
Win rate
avg ~10%
30%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
5 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What's encouraging is that Thestral clearly has a distance where it runs better. Over seven furlongs to a mile, the horse has won 1 of its 4 races, a rate of roughly 1 in 4 that stands out sharply against the overall record. It suggests there is genuine ability lurking there, a preference for ground that suits its stride. Trainer Tony Carroll, who runs a successful outfit at Cropthorne in Worcestershire — the yard sent out 136 winners this season alone — will be plotting to get Thestral back to winning ways at the right trip and the right race. The horse is still actively racing and only recently finished seventh, so there is time yet for another breakthrough. At three years old, there is no rush. Some horses need patience.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 25% win rate

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
13 Oct
7th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 13 runners
27 Sep
9th
Ffos Las
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 10 runners
4 Aug
5th
Ffos Las
7f – 1m · Good · 9 runners
8 Jul
10th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · 14 runners
15 Jun
3rd
Wetherby
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners
12 May
2nd
Lingfield Park
7f – 1m · Standard · 8 runners
12 Apr
10th
Musselburgh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 13 runners
25 Mar
8th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners
19 Dec
🏆 Won
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 7 runners
22 Nov
5th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 19 Dec 50%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 2 other 8 Jul 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
2 2 other 27 Sep 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 second 12 May 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 12 Apr 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 third 15 Jun 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Oct 0%