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Storm Star

Storm Star is a rare kind of racehorse: one that knows exactly who it is and where it belongs. A 5-year-old trained by Andrew Balding at Kingsclere, this horse has won 4 of its 19 races—a win rate of roughly 1 in every 5 attempts—but those numbers flatten what is really a story about specialization and dominance at one track.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Night Of Thunder
Mother
Dancing Star
Owner
J C Smith
Official rating
91

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
19
Career races
4
Wins
21.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
68.4%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
26 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Newcastle is Storm Star's kingdom. The horse has won 4 of its 8 races there, a success rate of exactly 50 percent. Three of those wins came in rapid succession between January and April 2025, suggesting a horse in brilliant form at that particular track. The most recent win came on 18 April this year, meaning Storm Star has not tasted victory in almost seventeen months—a drought that explains why recent form reads poorly (2-5-8–2-10 across the last six outings). But that gap matters less than the pattern: when Storm Star runs on normal ground at a Class 2 level, it simply wins more often than it loses. At Class 2, it has won 3 of 7 races, a 43 percent win rate. On standard conditions, it is 4 wins from 9 races.

The current slump is real enough, but Storm Star is still showing fight. A second place finish just one day ago suggests the horse is still competitive, still trying. Andrew Balding's yard has been prolific this season with 202 winners, and while Storm Star may not be a stable star, it remains a genuine asset at its level—a horse that, if conditions and ground align and it finds its way back to Newcastle, might remind us what made those early-2025 victories look so convincing.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 4 wins from 9 starts (44%)
✔ Course specialist at Newcastle: 4 wins from 8 starts (50%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
5F – 6½F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Loves
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
23 Sep
2nd
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 8 runners
12 Sep
5th
Doncaster
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 17 runners
14 Aug
8th
Newmarket
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
18 Jun
DNF
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 29 runners
1 May
2nd
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
3 Apr
10th
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 14 runners
7 Feb
6th
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 7 runners
16 Jan
6th
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 9 runners
13 Dec
3rd
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 8 runners
18 Apr
🏆 Won
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 14 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
50%
Win rate
2/4
Wins / rides
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
Oisin Murphy Current jockey
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
Alfie Redman(7)
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
8 4 wins, 2 thirds, 2 other 3 Apr 50%
Ascot
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 18 Jun 0%
Southwell
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 7 Feb 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 12 Sep 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 third 6 Jul 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 second 25 Jul 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Aug 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 second 23 Sep 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Jun 0%