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Southern Warrior

The three-year-old has managed just one win from eleven races—a success at Newcastle back in March—and has now gone six races without returning to the winner's circle. With a 9% win rate overall, he is a horse who finds victory hard to come by, though his recent form shows glimpses of promise. In his last six outings he has finished in the money three times, most recently picking up a place just a day ago, suggesting he remains competitive at his level even if wins are proving elusive.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Colt
Colour
Bay
Father
Cotai Glory
Owner
David L Bayliss
Official rating
58

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
11
Career races
1
Wins
9.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
27.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
24 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The good news for Southern Warrior is that he has found a sweet spot: over the intermediate distances between five furlongs and six and a half furlongs, he has won one of seven races, a 14% win rate that is noticeably better than his overall record. That Newcastle victory in March came at exactly the right trip, and the pattern suggests that when conditions and distance align, this horse can perform. Trainer Olly Williams, based at Market Rasen in Lincolnshire, will be looking to exploit that preference. The yard has not had a prolific season—just the one winner so far—so Southern Warrior's ability to pick up places regularly, even without winning, keeps him in the mix. At three years old he still has time to develop, and a horse that regularly runs into the money, even without dominating, can prove valuable to patient the yard.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 7 starts (14%)
✔ Well suited by 5f – 6½f distances: 14% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Yet to win at Southwell in 5 attempts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
Loves
Sprint (< 5F)
Unknown
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
24 Sep
13th
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 14 runners
3 Sep
8th
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
16 Aug
13th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
21 Jul
8th
Nottingham
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
12 Jun
10th
Sandown Park
7f – 1m · Good · 12 runners
15 May
5th
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
30 Mar
3rd
Kempton Park
5f – 6½f · Standard_To_Slow · 5 runners
21 Mar
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners
25 Feb
DNF
Lingfield Park
5f – 6½f · Standard · 6 runners
3 Jan
5th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Liam Wright
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Southwell
Galloping
5 1 third, 4 other 24 Sep 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 win 21 Mar 100%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 25 Feb 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 third 30 Mar 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Jul 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 15 May 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Jun 0%