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Skukuza

There is a horse on Ed Dunlop's books at Newmarket that has taken the scenic route to fulfilling its potential — and may finally be arriving at its destination. Skukuza is a five-year-old with three wins from 16 races, a record that works out at winning roughly 1 in every 5 races (19%), but the numbers alone don't capture the story. This is a horse that has spent as much time on the sidelines as on a racecourse, yet every time it has been given a clear run, it has shown it belongs at a high level.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Horse
Colour
Bay
Father
Blue Point
Mother
Shingwedzi
Trainer
Owner
Cayton Park Stud Limited
Rating
110

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
16
Career races
3
Wins
18.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Sat 25 Jul
Ascot
About 7 furlongs · Unknown · 61 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The first win came at Newmarket in May 2024, and things were building nicely when Skukuza finished second in the Britannia at Royal Ascot — one of the most competitive races of the summer Festival, run over a mile in front of a packed grandstand. That performance suggested a horse heading in an exciting direction. Then came an injury that wiped out the rest of the season entirely. When a horse misses months of racing at a crucial point in its development, it can lose momentum it never quite recovers. Skukuza, it turns out, has not lost it at all.

The return came at Haydock this year, a full twelve months after the last win. Dunlop described the team as very pleased with a fifth-place finish, noting that a horse returning from that long a break should improve considerably with the run under its belt. That improvement came quickly. Skukuza went to The Curragh in late June and won, doing it so convincingly that the team's representative on the day said the further it went, the further it was going to win. Dunlop was equally direct: this is a smart horse, and it deserved that moment.

At the top level — Class 1 and 2 races, the prestige end of the calendar — Skukuza has yet to win in three attempts (0 from 3), but the plan seems to be to go after exactly those races next. The Hunt Cup at Royal Ascot, a famous mile handicap run on fast, dry ground, is apparently on the radar. It is worth noting that Skukuza's three career wins have all come on normal ground, a record of 3 from 8 (38%) that makes it one of the more reliable horses in the yard when conditions suit. The regular partnership with Ryan Moore — who has won 2 of his 5 rides on the horse, a 40% return — is another reason to be optimistic. That is a seriously good number by any measure.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 3 wins from 8 starts (38%)
Effective partnership with Ryan Moore: 40% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
17 Jun
24th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 30 runners
5 Jun
6th
Epsom Downs
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
15 Apr
6th
Newmarket
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 6 runners
13 Sep
4th
Leopardstown
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Yielding · 10 runners
23 Aug
3rd
York
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
1 Aug
9th
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 22 runners
29 Jun
🏆 Won
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 9 runners
24 May
🏆 Won
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 19 runners
11 May
6th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 14 runners
26 Apr
5th
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
40%
Win rate
2/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newmarket
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 15 Apr 25%
The Curragh
Galloping
2 2 wins 29 Jun 100%
Ascot
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 17 Jun 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 1 Aug 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 11 May 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 5 Jun 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 third 16 Aug 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Sep 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 second 21 Jul 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Apr 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 third 23 Aug 0%