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Skukuza

Skukuza has spent much of his racing life waiting for his moment to arrive. The five-year-old has won just three of his 17 races, a record that speaks more to bad luck than lack of ability. A serious injury picked up in the Britannia at Royal Ascot derailed him completely, costing him the rest of that season when he was running well enough to finish second in one of the year's biggest races. When he returned after a year away, the yard moved cautiously, and it paid off — he came back with an encouraging fifth at Haydock on ground that wasn't ideal, giving real signs he was ready to progress again.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Blue Point
Mother
Shingwedzi
Trainer
Owner
Cayton Park Stud Limited
Official rating
107

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
17
Career races
3
Wins
17.6%
Win rate
avg ~10%
47.1%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
33 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The cracks in his record start to make sense when you look closer. He absolutely thrives on normal ground, winning three of nine races when conditions are standard, but falters on faster surfaces. More tellingly, he has won nothing in his last six races, yet his recent performances suggest something is shifting. On his day, with Ryan Moore in the saddle, he is a different horse entirely — the pair have combined for two wins from five races together, a 40 per cent win rate that towers above his overall record. Last June at The Curragh, 15 months ago, he delivered exactly what his talent promised, winning decisively. The trainer, Ed Dunlop, believed he had finally found his feet and even hinted at a tilt at the Hunt Cup, one of the season's most competitive contests.

The concern is that Skukuza has become a horse of near-misses since. He struggles badly in top-class company, winning none of his three races at the highest level, and it has been a long time since he tasted victory. Yet with Ryan Moore as his regular partner and Dunlop's Newmarket yard in excellent form this season, the pieces are there. He was active as recently as a day ago, which means another opportunity is coming soon. Sometimes a horse just needs the right conditions and the right jockey to deliver what he has always promised — Skukuza might finally be ready to prove his quality is more than a flash in the pan.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 3 wins from 9 starts (33%)
✔ Effective partnership with Ryan Moore: 40% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Sep
9th
Sandown Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
17 Jun
24th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 30 runners
5 Jun
6th
Epsom Downs
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
15 Apr
6th
Newmarket
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 6 runners
13 Sep
4th
Leopardstown
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Yielding · 10 runners
23 Aug
3rd
York
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
1 Aug
9th
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 22 runners
29 Jun
🏆 Won
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 9 runners
24 May
🏆 Won
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 19 runners
11 May
6th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 14 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
40%
Win rate
2/5
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newmarket
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 15 Apr 25%
The Curragh
Galloping
2 2 wins 29 Jun 100%
Ascot
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 17 Jun 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 11 May 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 second 21 Jul 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 third 16 Aug 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Apr 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 third 23 Aug 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Sep 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 5 Jun 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Sep 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 1 Aug 0%