:

Shady Bay

There's a horse who knows exactly where it wants to be, and that place is Nottingham. Shady Bay has won 2 of its 4 races at that track — that's a 50% win rate at a course where most horses are lucky to win once every five visits. For a five-year-old that has raced 21 times in total and won 4 of them (roughly 1 in every 5 races), that Nottingham record stands out sharply. The most recent of those wins came just three months ago, in April 2026, which means this is a horse currently in the form of its life rather than one coasting on old memories.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
New Bay
Mother
Soft Lips
Trainer
Owner
P Afia E Hobson A Pegley Cr Russell
Rating
76

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
21
Career races
4
Wins
19.0%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The wider career picture is solid rather than spectacular. Four wins and nine placed efforts from 21 races tells you this is a horse that consistently shows up and competes — it has finished in the top three nearly two-thirds of the time — without quite dominating its rivals. It operates mainly in Class 5 company, which is the bread-and-butter level of British racing, and has won 2 of those 13 races at that grade. That 15% win rate there is respectable, though the Nottingham numbers suggest there might be slightly more to this horse than the overall record implies.

Ground conditions matter too. On fast, dry ground, Shady Bay wins 2 of every 7 races — a 29% win rate that is nearly double what it manages overall. That is a meaningful pattern. When the sun has been out and the track is quick underfoot, this horse finds another gear. Sean Levey is the regular partner in the saddle, and while their combined record of 1 win from 6 races together is modest, the partnership is clearly an established one.

Tom Ward trains the horse from Upper Lambourn in Berkshire, a village that has been at the heart of British flat racing for generations. The yard has sent out 14 winners already this season, which suggests it is operating confidently. Shady Bay first won for them back in October 2024 at Southwell, and has now developed into a horse with a genuine course preference, a ground preference, and recent form that reads 4-3-3-1 — meaning four consecutive top-four finishes including a win. It raced just yesterday, which makes it one of the more active horses around right now. Everything points to a horse that is fit, happy, and very much worth watching next time it heads to Nottingham.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 7 starts (29%)

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
1M3F – 1M4F
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
13 Jul
4th
Windsor
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
23 Jun
3rd
Newbury
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
31 May
3rd
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 7 runners
26 Apr
🏆 Won
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 5 runners
3 Nov
6th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 13 runners
18 Oct
7th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners
19 Sep
7th
Newbury
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
9 Sep
5th
Leicester
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 8 runners
14 Aug
3rd
Windsor
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
24 Jul
🏆 Won
Newbury
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
40%
Win rate
2/5
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Nottingham
Galloping
4 2 wins, 2 thirds 31 May 50%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
4 4 other 3 Nov 0%
Newbury
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 23 Jun 33.3%
Windsor
Sharp
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 13 Jul 0%
Southwell
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 15 Jan 50%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 2 other 5 Feb 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 other 15 Jun 0%
Brighton
Undulating
1 1 other 30 May 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 9 Sep 0%