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Shadow Dance

There's a horse in Rebecca Menzies' yard in County Durham that knows how to pick its moments. Shadow Dance has won just 2 races from 15 outings — roughly 1 in every 7 or 8 — but one of those wins came in a top-level Class 2 race at York in August 2024, one of the most prestigious tracks in British racing. That's not a small thing. Plenty of horses spend entire careers without getting near that level, let alone winning at it.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Almanzor
Mother
Skyline Dancer
Owner
Caspian Racing Limited
Rating
92

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
15
Career races
2
Wins
13.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
46.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The six-year-old made its first mark at Haydock Park in September 2023, then stepped up to land that York prize the following summer. Since then, though, it's been a long wait. Shadow Dance hasn't won in its last six races, with recent finishing positions of 9th, 11th, 7th, 6th, 7th, and 13th — a sequence that suggests it's found things tough and hasn't been able to recapture that York form. It raced just yesterday, so it's firmly in the thick of another campaign.

What the record does show is that Shadow Dance is a horse with specific preferences, and when those preferences are met, it delivers. On normal ground — not too wet, not too firm — it has won 2 of its 5 races, a 40% win rate that is genuinely striking. Shift those conditions in either direction and the results tail off sharply. Distance matters too: it does its best work over a mile and three furlongs to a mile and four furlongs, winning 2 of its 7 races at those trips — just under 1 in every 3, which is a strong return at a level where winning is hard. At Class 2, where it spends most of its time, the overall win rate is 1 from 10, which is modest but reflects the quality of opposition it faces week in, week out.

Rebecca Menzies has had a productive season — 35 winners from her Durham base — and Shadow Dance sits in a yard that clearly knows how to get a horse ready. The question now is whether the right combination of track, distance, and ground can unlock another big day. It's happened before. York, August 2024, proved this horse can deliver when the stars align.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 29% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to firm
Standard to slow
Standard (all-weather)
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good to soft
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2
Ok
Class 3
Class 4
Class 5
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Right-handed, undulating
Left-handed, tight turning
Right-handed, tight turning
Avoids
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Apr
13th
Musselburgh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
21 Feb
7th
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 7 runners
28 Jan
6th
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 10 runners
12 Sep
7th
Doncaster
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
23 Aug
11th
York
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 22 runners
29 Jul
9th
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 18 runners
13 Sep
3rd
Doncaster
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
23 Aug
🏆 Won
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 13 runners
20 Jul
2nd
Ripon
1m6f – 2m · Good · 10 runners
21 Jun
17th
Ascot
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 21 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
50%
Win rate
2/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
Kaiya Fraser Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
York
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 23 Aug 50%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 12 Sep 0%
Windsor
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 12 Jun 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 win 8 Sep 100%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 4 Apr 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 third 10 May 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Jun 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 second 13 Oct 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 29 Jul 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Jan 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 21 Feb 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 second 20 Jul 0%