Serenity Dream

The horse loves extremes in ground conditions. On wet or muddy ground it wins 2 out of every 7 races (29%), which is nearly triple its overall win rate. Flip that to fast, dry ground and the picture improves further: 2 wins from just 4 races (50%), suggesting Serenity Dream has genuine pace when the surface is firm underfoot. This is the kind of detail that matters for trainers planning entries — the weather forecast becomes as important as the race card. Trained by Tony Carroll at Cropthorne in Worcestershire, the yard is having a strong season with 136 winners already, so the infrastructure to spot those ground-dependent opportunities is clearly there.

Distance-wise, Serenity Dream performs best over the middle furlongs — specifically 5 to 6½ furlongs — where it has won 3 of 11 races (27%). The horse also holds a genuine fondness for Kempton Park, winning 2 of 6 races there since its first career victory on 6 July 2023. That's a respectable 33% win rate at one track, the kind of win rate that keeps a horse's name in a trainer's notebook for future entries. Jack Doughty has partnered the horse 11 times and won twice together (18%), slightly better than the overall average.

Recent form has been mixed but encouraging. Last raced just a day ago, Serenity Dream has won 2 of its last 6 outings, with two more second places sandwiched between them — the kind of consistency that suggests it is holding form. The last victory came at Brighton on 6 August, seven weeks ago. While Class 4 races have proved tough (1 win from 11), this is a horse that understands how to compete and improves markedly when ground and distance align in its favour.