Serenity Blue
Serenity Blue is a 4-year-old with a curious profile: genuinely talented on the right day, but maddeningly inconsistent. The numbers tell the story. Two wins from ten races is a 20% win rate, which sounds modest until you look closer—both victories came on fast, dry ground, where the horse has won 2 of its 5 attempts (40%). Throw the horse onto wet or muddy going and it simply doesn't fire. That matters because British racing gives you mostly normal or testing conditions, which explains why long stretches pass between wins.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Owner
Total Recall Racing Club
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
The real eye-catcher is Serenity Blue's performance in lower-level races. At Class 5, the horse has won 2 of 3 starts (67%)—dominant form. That suggests the yard has found the right level, and trainer James Horton, based at Newmarket, knows what he is doing; his stable has sent out 20 winners this season. But the horse is currently active and has not won in its last six outings. The most recent run came just a day ago, a fourth-place finish, and the last victory was way back at Redcar on 20 June 2025—fourteen months of trying without success. For a horse that showed early promise with a debut win at Nottingham in May 2025, that drought is the real story. Serenity Blue is at a crossroads: capable of better days, but needing the ground to go its way and needing a return to the right race type. Without both, it may keep chasing that next win longer than either the trainer or the owners would like.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Likes
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
9 Oct
🏆 Won
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 7 runners
6 Aug
4th
Chepstow
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
3 Jul
4th
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
31 May
11th
Thirsk
1m6f – 2m · Good · 12 runners
9 May
10th
Ascot
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 15 runners
6 Apr
3rd
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners
20 Sep
9th
Newbury
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
31 Jul
16th
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 18 runners
20 Jun
🏆 Won
Redcar
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
20 May
🏆 Won
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| Redcar Galloping |
1 |
1 win |
20 Jun |
100% |
| Nottingham Galloping |
1 |
1 win |
20 May |
100% |
| Dundalk Galloping |
1 |
1 win |
9 Oct |
100% |
| Ascot Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
9 May |
0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
6 Apr |
0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
3 Jul |
0% |
| Goodwood Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
31 Jul |
0% |
| Thirsk Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
31 May |
0% |
| Chepstow Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
6 Aug |
0% |
| Leicester Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
26 Apr |
0% |
| Newbury Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
20 Sep |
0% |