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Secret Mistral

Secret Mistral has been a model of consistency rather than brilliance—the kind of horse that turns up race after race and finds a way into the prize money more often than not. With 7 wins from 45 races, the six-year-old wins roughly once every six and a half outings, which sounds modest until you look at where those wins come from. At Class 5 level, where most of its races take place, it has won 4 of 20—a 20% win rate that suggests it genuinely belongs in that company and regularly beats its peers.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Pearl Secret
Mother
Beau Mistral
Owner
A Mills
Official rating
79

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
45
Career races
7
Wins
15.6%
Win rate
avg ~10%
46.7%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
3 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The real story is what Secret Mistral does on normal ground. On fast, dry track conditions, it has won 4 of 17 races, a 24% win rate that stands out sharply against its overall record. This is a horse with a clear preference, and a trainer sharp enough to work with it. Tony Carroll's Cropthorne yard, which has sent out 136 winners already this season, knows how to place its runners, and Secret Mistral's recent win at Chester on 11 July shows it is still competitive. That was three months ago, and the horse raced again just yesterday, so it remains actively campaigned and clearly sound.

Jack Doughty has been Secret Mistral's regular partner, winning 3 of 15 races together—a 20% win rate that mirrors the horse's form at its preferred level. The pair clearly know each other well enough for this to work. Secret Mistral's last six races tell the story of a horse that finishes in the money most of the time: a win, then 3rd, 4th, 8th, 2nd, and 13th. That 13th was yesterday, a blip in what is generally a reliable pattern of running well. For the yard seeking a horse that will run its race week in and week out without the fireworks, Secret Mistral delivers the goods.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 4 wins from 17 starts (24%)
✔ Course specialist at Haydock Park: 3 wins from 18 starts (17%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
Sprint (< 5F)
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, tight
Ok
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Oct
13th
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 14 runners
19 Sep
2nd
Chester
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 13 runners
4 Sep
8th
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 12 runners
26 Aug
4th
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
25 Jul
3rd
Chester
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
11 Jul
🏆 Won
Chester
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
20 Jun
2nd
Nottingham
5f – 6½f · Good · 7 runners
26 Dec
8th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
15 Dec
3rd
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners
17 Oct
2nd
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
20%
Win rate
3/15
Wins / rides
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
Ben Curtis
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Haydock Park
Galloping
18 3 wins, 4 seconds, 2 thirds, 9 other 16 Oct 16.7%
Chester
Tight
9 1 win, 3 seconds, 2 thirds, 3 other 19 Sep 11.1%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
8 1 win, 1 third, 6 other 26 Dec 12.5%
Leicester
Sharp
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 10 Oct 33.3%
chelmsford 2 1 win, 1 other 13 Feb 50%
Southwell
Galloping
2 2 other 13 Dec 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 26 Aug 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 second 20 Jun 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 3 Jul 0%