UK time :

Sam's Hope

There is a version of Sam's Hope that is genuinely hard to beat — and it shows up almost exclusively at Southwell. Three of this six-year-old's six career wins have come at that one track, making it comfortably the most important venue on the racing calendar as far as this horse is concerned. Sam's Hope is one of them, winning 3 of its 11 races there — that is more than 1 in every 4 visits ending in a victory, which at this level is a meaningful edge.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Awtaad
Mother
Delightful Belle
Owner
D Morgan And K J Parris
Official rating
75

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
37
Career races
6
Wins
16.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
35.1%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
108 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Speed is the other calling card. Over the shortest distances in racing — sprints of less than five furlongs, which are essentially flat-out dashes from the start — Sam's Hope has won 3 from 6, a 50% win rate. Winning half your races at anything is exceptional, and it tells you that when conditions suit this horse, it can be devastating. The overall career record of 6 wins and 13 places from 37 races (a 16% win rate, or roughly 1 in every 6 races) is more modest, which simply reflects how often it competes outside those ideal conditions.

Martin Dunne trains the horse out of Newmarket, the heartland of British flat racing, and his yard has hit 20 winners already this season — a solid, productive operation. The most regular jockey in the saddle has been William Carson, but that partnership has yet to click: zero wins from eight races together. That is a curious stat, given how capable Sam's Hope has shown itself to be in the right circumstances.

The current run of form — no win in the last six races, with a second place the only bright spot — does suggest the horse is in a quieter spell. Its last win came at Southwell in January 2026, five months ago. The horse raced just yesterday, so it is clearly being kept busy. Whether the yard is searching for the right opportunity, or waiting for another crack at Southwell over a short trip, is the interesting question. Put those two things together — that track, that distance — and Sam's Hope has shown it can be a different animal entirely.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Course specialist at Southwell: 3 wins from 11 starts (27%)
✔ Well suited by Sprint (< 5f) distances: 50% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Sprint (< 5F)
Loves
5F – 6½F
Ok
7F – 1M
Avoids
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
Class 6 (grassroots)
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
2 Jul
6th
Nottingham
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
1 May
9th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 17 runners
30 Mar
7th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners
14 Mar
2nd
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 7 runners
20 Feb
9th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 12 runners
30 Jan
5th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
22 Jan
🏆 Won
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 8 runners
13 Jan
🏆 Won
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 9 runners
18 Dec
5th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 9 runners
29 Nov
5th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 13 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/8
Wins / rides
20%
Win rate
1/5
Wins / rides
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
Ryan Kavanagh
66.7%
Win rate
2/3
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Southwell
Galloping
11 3 wins, 2 seconds, 6 other 14 Mar 27.3%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
11 2 wins, 2 seconds, 7 other 30 Mar 18.2%
Kempton Park
Galloping
7 1 win, 1 third, 5 other 15 Jan 14.3%
chelmsford 3 1 second, 2 other 18 Sep 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
2 2 other 2 Jul 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 1 May 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 second 17 Jul 0%
Brighton
Undulating
1 1 other 30 Apr 0%