Safari Dream

Those conditions appear to be Ffos Las itself. The horse has an outstanding record there, winning 2 of his last 3 races at the track, which suggests it suits him perfectly. Away from there, Safari Dream's 50-race career has yielded 8 wins and 23 places, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 6 races. He performs noticeably better on normal or fast, dry ground — winning at 25% and 30% respectively — which is worth noting on race days when the going is described as anything other than wet and muddy. He spent much of his mid-career running at a level too high for him, but has settled at Class 5 company in recent seasons, where he wins about 1 in every 8 races. His jockey Ross Coakley has ridden him 9 times for a single victory, suggesting the pair may not be the perfect match. After running just last week, Safari Dream remains active and hungry. Millman's comment that he is "knocking on the door" is not routine trainer speak — it sounds like genuine confidence that another win is coming soon.