Run This Way

Her trainer Paul Midgley, who operates out of Westow in North Yorkshire and has sent out 39 winners already this season, is candid about her history. There was a point a couple of years ago — when jockey Graham Lee won on her at Thirsk — where the yard thought she could develop into a proper, high-rated horse. That didn't happen. Last season she underperformed throughout, and Midgley has acknowledged she was never right. A wind operation over the winter appears to have helped, because the horse that turned up this spring is a different proposition.

The wet-ground stat is worth understanding properly. She has won 4 of her 11 races on soft or muddy ground — that is 36%, or roughly 1 in every 3. Across her whole career she wins about 1 in every 6 races, so the contrast is sharp. When the rain comes and the ground gets heavy, her chance improves dramatically. Keep an eye on the weather forecast.

Most of her racing has come at Class 5 level, which sits near the bottom of the competitive ladder in Britain. She has won just 2 of 21 races at that level — roughly 1 in 10 — which sounds modest, but it reflects how competitive even the lower tiers can be rather than any lack of effort on her part. Her most trusted partner in the saddle has been David Nolan, who has won 3 of their 12 races together, a win rate of 25% — or roughly 1 in 4. That is a noticeably better record than the overall career average, and suggests Nolan knows exactly how to get the best out of her.