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Rubaud

There are horses that turn up, do their job, and go home. And then there is Rubaud — a horse that has quietly built one of the most consistent records in top-level British racing without ever quite getting the attention the numbers deserve.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Air Chief Marshal
Mother
Fulgence
Owner
Brendan McManus
Rating
145

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
25
Career races
11
Wins
44%
Win rate
avg ~10%
64%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
28 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

At eight years old, Rubaud has won 11 of his 25 races, which works out at just under half of everything he has entered. That is a remarkable number on its own, but what makes it genuinely extraordinary is the company he has been doing it in. Nineteen of those races have come at Class 1 level — the very top tier of British racing — and he has won nine of them. Nearly 1 in every 2 top-level races he enters, he wins. Most horses never even compete at that level. Rubaud does it routinely, and then wins.

The record has a clear shape to it. Rubaud loves normal ground — not too wet, not too firm — and on those conditions he has won 9 of just 12 races, a 75% win rate that borders on freakish. He also has a particular affinity for Wincanton, winning 3 of his 5 visits there, and it was at Wincanton on 8 November 2025 that he claimed his most recent victory. Before that, he won at Kempton in October 2025, having also won there in February. Three Class 1 victories in under nine months, at two different tracks, in the same season. That is not a fluke — that is a horse operating at his ceiling and clearing it repeatedly.

Much of the credit goes to the partnership he has formed with jockey Harry Cobden. Together they have run 20 times and won 11 — that is a 55% win rate, which is an almost unheard-of figure for any jockey-horse combination at the top level. When Cobden gets the leg up on Rubaud, the smart money follows. Paul Nicholls trains him out of Ditcheat in Somerset, currently one of the most productive yards in the country with 95 winners already this season — and Rubaud is one of the reasons why.

His last two runs have brought a second and a third rather than another win, so the sequence has cooled slightly. But a horse who has won half his career races, dominated at Class 1, and is still active and racing at eight years old is not a horse on the slide. He is a horse worth watching every single time he runs.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 9 wins from 12 starts (75%)
Course specialist at Kempton Park: 5 wins from 10 starts (50%)
Course specialist at Wincanton: 3 wins from 5 starts (60%)
Strong overall win rate: wins 44% of races
Effective partnership with Harry Cobden: 55% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 1 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to soft
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1
Class 2
Class 4
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Right-handed, undulating
Left-handed, tight turning
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Mar
DNF
Cheltenham
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 20 runners
14 Feb
2nd
Wincanton
1m6f – 2m · Heavy · 4 runners
26 Dec
3rd
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
8 Nov
🏆 Won
Wincanton
1m6f – 2m · Good · 4 runners
19 Oct
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 4 runners
1 May
DNF
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · 10 runners
3 Apr
5th
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
22 Feb
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners
8 Feb
2nd
Warwick
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 4 runners
27 Dec
DNF
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 4 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
55.0%
Win rate
11/20
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kempton Park
Galloping
10 5 wins, 2 seconds, 1 third, 2 other 26 Dec 50%
Wincanton
Galloping
5 3 wins, 1 second, 1 other 14 Feb 60%
Taunton
Undulating
2 2 wins 8 Dec 100%
Ayr
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 20 Apr 50%
Cheltenham
Galloping
2 2 other 11 Mar 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 1 May 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Feb 0%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Apr 0%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 second 8 Feb 0%