His best distance is a mile and one or two furlongs, and that is where his numbers genuinely improve. Over that range he has won 2 of 9 races — nearly 1 in every 4 — which is a meaningful jump and tells you that when conditions suit him in terms of trip, he becomes a different proposition. It is the kind of detail that separates a horse who drifts around the field from one who has a specific groove, and Rogue Soldier has found his.
He tends to compete at Class 5, which sits in the mid-to-lower tier of British racing. At that level he has won 2 of his 14 races — 1 in every 7 — which is not a dominant record, but it does mean he has beaten rivals at the right sort of level for him. His first win came at Wolverhampton in November 2023, and his second at Lingfield Park in July 2024. Both are all-weather tracks, which is worth noting — these are indoor-style surfaces that suit certain horses down to the ground and can tell you a lot about where a trainer will look to place a horse next.
The concern, and it is a legitimate one, is the recent form. His last six races read 4th, 13th, 9th, 10th, 10th, 9th — the most recent at the top of that list. After that promising fourth, he has had five consecutive finishes in the bottom half of the field. He has not won in two years. For a horse who has demonstrated he can do it, that gap is long enough to ask questions. He raced just yesterday, which means he is an active runner being kept busy — the team clearly still believes there is a performance in him somewhere. Whether he can find it is what makes him worth watching.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
8 | 1 win, 1 third, 6 other | 7 Jul | 12.5% |
| chelmsford | 3 | 3 other | 24 Apr | 0% |
| Lingfield Park Sharp |
2 | 1 win, 1 other | 29 May | 50% |
| Southwell Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 22 Jan | 0% |
| Nottingham Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 2 Jun | 0% |
| Great Yarmouth Galloping |
1 | 1 third | 22 May | 0% |
| Beverley Undulating |
1 | 1 third | 10 Jun | 0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
1 | 1 third | 23 Aug | 0% |