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Rogue Rebellion

The horse broke its duck with a win at Lingfield Park back in January, but has not found the winner's enclosure since—eight months is a long drought at this level. In 16 career races, it has managed just 1 win and 5 places, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 16 attempts that suggests this is a horse better suited to finishing in the frame than crossing the line first.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Colt
Colour
Bay
Father
Ardad
Mother
Powerful Dream
Trainer
R Harris
Owner
Ms Sue Bradley
Official rating
46

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
16
Career races
1
Wins
6.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
31.2%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
47 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The recent form tells a familiar story of a horse trying hard but falling short. In its last six races, Rogue Rebellion has not finished worse than fourth, posting placings of seventh, fifth, fourth, third, fourth, and third in that order—solid, consistent efforts that rarely translate into victories. That steadiness is worth noting: five placings in sixteen races shows it is capable enough to get into the mix, but something stops it short when it matters.

Where there is a glimmer of promise is at Lingfield Park, where Rogue Rebellion has won 1 of 3 races, a 33% win rate that stands out sharply against its overall record. Lingfield clearly suits this horse, whether the track layout, ground conditions, or distance has played a role. With the horse still active and racing regularly, finding a race back at that track where the form has been strongest might be the angle that finally ends another extended losing run.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Bath in 6 attempts
⚠ Struggles on LH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Firm (dry)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
2 Sep
7th
Bath
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
9 Aug
5th
Chepstow
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
31 Jul
4th
Bath
5f – 6½f · Firm · 9 runners
14 Jul
3rd
Leicester
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
3 Jul
4th
Chepstow
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
1 Jul
3rd
Bath
5f – 6½f · Firm · 5 runners
5 Jun
9th
Bath
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
14 May
9th
Salisbury
5f – 6½f · Good · 15 runners
4 May
2nd
Bath
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
5 Apr
6th
Bath
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Luke Morris Current jockey
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Bath
Undulating
6 1 second, 1 third, 4 other 2 Sep 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
2 2 other 9 Aug 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 win 14 Jan 100%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 second 14 Feb 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 26 Aug 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 other 14 May 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 other 18 Sep 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 21 Jul 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 1 Jan 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 third 14 Jul 0%