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Recency Bias

There is something quietly stubborn about a horse that keeps finding the frame without quite getting its nose in front — and for most of its career, Recency Bias looked like exactly that kind of horse. Six races, five placings, one winner's enclosure. Then Newcastle in March changed the story.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Havana Grey
Mother
Apadana
Trainer
Owner
Justwow Ltd & Mrs E Burke
Official rating
85

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
7
Career races
1
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
57.1%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
127 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

That first win came on 21 March 2026, and it has been the defining moment of what has been a patient, grinding career so far. With a record of one win and four places from seven races, Recency Bias wins roughly 1 in every 7 races — not a dazzling number, but the four places tell you this is a horse that consistently runs well without always getting the result. In betting terms, you would have collected a lot of small returns backing it to finish in the top three. At four years old, there is still time for that conversion rate to improve.

The recent form reading 8-2-2-4-1-2 is worth unpacking. Read it right to left — that is the journey — and what you see is a horse that placed second on debut, won, then hit a flat patch in the middle of its career, before bouncing back to place twice in its last two runs. The 8 at the far left, its most recent race just yesterday, is the one blemish, but a horse active and placing regularly is a horse in form. Coming back quickly after a run can sometimes sharpen a horse up; sometimes it just means a busy schedule. Either way, Recency Bias is clearly being kept on the go.

The trainer behind all of this is K R Burke, operating out of Coverham in North Yorkshire, and the scale of that operation is worth appreciating. One hundred and forty-five winners sent out in a single season is a serious number — that is a yard firing on all cylinders, placing horses in the right races and getting results. Burke's team has a reputation for knowing exactly where to place a horse to give it its best chance, and the fact that Recency Bias found the winner's enclosure at Newcastle suggests that calculation worked perfectly at least once. Whether it can happen again, and whether Newcastle remains the happy hunting ground, is the question worth watching.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
5F – 6½F
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
13 Jun
8th
York
7f – 1m · Good · 22 runners
30 May
2nd
Carlisle
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 15 runners
1 May
2nd
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
6 Apr
4th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 6 runners
21 Mar
🏆 Won
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 6 runners
30 Mar
2nd
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Good · 13 runners
11 Mar
4th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
Jack Nicholls(5) Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 1 May 50%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
2 2 other 6 Apr 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Jun 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 second 30 Mar 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 second 30 May 0%