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Pourquoi Pas Papa

Pourquoi Pas Papa is a young horse with a nose for a big occasion who has quietly been putting a decent profile together for one of British racing's most formidable yards. Trained by Paul Nicholls at Ditcheat in Somerset — an operation that has fired out 92 winners already this season — the four-year-old has won once and finished in the places four more times from seven races, which translates to a 14% win rate, or roughly 1 win in every 7 outings. Modest on paper, but the quality of those placed efforts tells a more interesting story.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Manatee
Mother
Pourquoi Pas Elle
Owner
Bell, Lyons, James, Hill
Rating
129

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
7
Career races
1
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
57.1%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That sole win came at Wincanton in January 2026, and what matters is what came next. Just days later, Pourquoi Pas Papa finished second in the Victor Ludorum at Haydock — a serious race, run on wet, muddy ground, and one that draws talented young horses from across the country. Nicholls was openly impressed, describing it as a really good run. A horse that wins at a local track and then goes straight to a big occasion and nearly wins it is a horse that can travel. That sequence explains why the yard are genuinely excited about where this horse might go next.

His form figures over the last six races — 2-1-2-4-4-4 — show a horse that has been finding its feet and is now clearly on an upward curve. Over distances between a mile and six furlongs and two miles, he has won 1 from 3 races, a win rate of 33%, which is strong. He seems to be a horse who wants cut in the ground, and with wet conditions he can look a different animal altogether. Nicholls noted he loves soft ground, and if the yard can keep targeting him in those conditions, there is every reason to think he can add to his tally.

Harry Cobden, one of the most trusted jockeys in the sport, has been in the saddle for five of the seven races and has that one win together — 20%, or roughly 1 in 5 rides converting. That partnership looks likely to continue, and with a horse that appears to be finding its stride at exactly the right moment, Pourquoi Pas Papa is one to watch closely over the weeks ahead.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 33% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
10 Apr
4th
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
10 Mar
4th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
10 Mar
4th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
14 Feb
2nd
Haydock Park
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
29 Jan
🏆 Won
Wincanton
1m6f – 2m · Heavy · 18 runners
9 Jan
2nd
Exeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 16 runners
5 Dec
2nd
Sandown Park
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Cheltenham
Galloping
2 2 other 10 Mar 0%
Wincanton
Galloping
1 1 win 29 Jan 100%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 second 14 Feb 0%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Apr 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 second 5 Dec 0%
Exeter
Undulating
1 1 second 9 Jan 0%