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Palmar Bay

There's a horse operating right at the top end of the sport here. Palmar Bay is a 5-year-old with a genuinely impressive record — 5 wins and 10 further placed finishes from just 21 races, meaning it has finished in the top three more than half the time it has ever competed. That's the kind of consistency that catches the eye, and a win rate of roughly 1 in every 4 races (24%) is well above average for a horse running at this level.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Exceed And Excel
Mother
Di Fede
Owner
Robert Ng
Rating
102

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
21
Career races
5
Wins
23.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
47.6%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The headline achievement is a Class 2 win at Chester in August 2025 — one of the top tier of races in Britain, at one of the most unique and demanding tracks in the country. Chester's tight, oval circuit sorts out the horses that genuinely handle pressure and experience, so winning there at that level means something. It was Palmar Bay's second Class 2 success, having also taken one at Salisbury back in October 2023. That earlier Salisbury win was particularly meaningful because it was at the very same track where this horse first got off the mark in May 2023 — a place that has clearly suited it well.

The partnership with jockey Rossa Ryan is worth noting. In 8 races together, they have won 3 times — that's a win rate of 38%, or nearly 2 in every 5 races as a combination. In racing terms, that is a very strong pairing. When you see Ryan in the saddle, Palmar Bay becomes significantly more interesting as a proposition.

Behind the horse is Ralph Beckett's yard at Kimpton in Hampshire — a serious, high-functioning operation that has already sent out 109 winners this season alone. That isn't a yard that wastes entries; when they turn up at a racecourse, there's usually a plan. Ground conditions matter here too: on fast, dry ground, Palmar Bay has won 2 from 5 races (40%), which suggests it really comes alive when the conditions are in its favour.

The recent form shows a dip — finishing 9th and 6th in two of the last five outings before bouncing back with consecutive fourth-place finishes and then a return to form. Having raced just yesterday, this is a horse in active campaign mode right now, and with the right ground and Rossa Ryan aboard, it has shown it can mix it with the best.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
Effective partnership with Rossa Ryan: 38% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Standard (all-weather)
Soft (muddy)
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Avoids
Class 2 (high-level)
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
30 May
10th
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 13 runners
9 May
4th
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners
7 Mar
4th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard
4 Oct
6th
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
23 Aug
9th
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
3 Aug
🏆 Won
Chester
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
14 Jun
6th
York
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 15 runners
1 Jun
🏆 Won
chelmsford
7f – 1m · Standard · 16 runners
3 Jan
3rd
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
4 Dec
2nd
Lingfield Park
7f – 1m · Standard · 8 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
37.5%
Win rate
3/8
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Jack Dace
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Windsor
Sharp
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 12 Aug 33.3%
Salisbury
Undulating
2 2 wins 5 Oct 100%
Chester
Tight
2 1 win, 1 other 30 May 50%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 9 May 0%
chelmsford 1 1 win 1 Jun 100%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Jul 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Jun 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 second 4 Dec 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Oct 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 28 Oct 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Mar 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 23 Aug 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Jun 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Jul 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 third 3 Jan 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Oct 0%