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Palmar Bay

Palmar Bay is a five-year-old with a respectable career record — 5 wins and 10 places from 22 races, which works out to roughly 1 win in every 4 or 5 races (23%). That kind of consistency tells you this is a horse that earns its keep without being a world-beater, one that tends to find a level and perform reliably within it.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Exceed and Excel
Mother
Di Fede
Owner
Robert Ng
Rating
101

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
22
Career races
5
Wins
22.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
45.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The highlight of that career came at Chester in August 2025, when Palmar Bay won a Class 2 race — one of the top tier events in British racing. Chester is a notoriously tricky track, a tight, almost circular course where positioning and experience matter enormously, so winning there at a high level is no small thing. It built on an earlier Class 2 victory at Salisbury in October 2023, a track where Palmar Bay had also recorded its very first career win back in May of that year. Salisbury clearly suits — two of its five wins have come there — and the horse has shown a genuine ability to perform on the big occasions when asked.

The ground matters too. On fast, dry conditions, Palmar Bay has won 2 of just 5 races — a 40% win rate that stands well above its overall average. That kind of uplift on a specific surface is exactly the thing a knowledgeable punter keeps an eye on, and it suggests the horse genuinely moves through a different gear when the ground is in its favour.

Rossa Ryan has been the most successful partner in the saddle, winning 3 of their 9 races together — that's 1 in 3, which is a notably strong ratio and well above the horse's overall average. It suggests a real understanding has developed between horse and jockey. The yard behind all of this is Ralph Beckett's operation in Kimpton, Hampshire — one of the most productive in the country this season, having sent out 107 winners already.

The one note of caution is that Palmar Bay hasn't won in its last six races, with recent finishes of 9th, 6th, 4th, 4th, 10th, and 8th — a run of results that suggests it may be finding things tougher at the moment, or simply waiting for the right conditions to click again. With fast ground, the right jockey, and a track that suits, though, this is a horse that has shown it can deliver when everything lines up.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Soft (muddy)
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Avoids
Class 2 (high-level)
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Left-handed, tight
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Jul
8th
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 9 runners
30 May
10th
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 13 runners
9 May
4th
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners
7 Mar
4th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard
4 Oct
6th
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
23 Aug
9th
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
3 Aug
🏆 Won
Chester
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
14 Jun
6th
York
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 15 runners
1 Jun
🏆 Won
chelmsford
7f – 1m · Standard · 16 runners
3 Jan
3rd
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
33.3%
Win rate
3/9
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Jack Dace
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Chester
Tight
3 1 win, 2 other 11 Jul 33.3%
Windsor
Sharp
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 12 Aug 33.3%
Salisbury
Undulating
2 2 wins 5 Oct 100%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 9 May 0%
chelmsford 1 1 win 1 Jun 100%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Jun 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 third 3 Jan 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 23 Aug 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Oct 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 28 Oct 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Mar 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 second 4 Dec 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Oct 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Jul 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Jul 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Jun 0%