Orandi

The ground stat is the one to focus on. In five races on soft or heavy going, Orandi has won twice — that's a 40% win rate, meaning it wins 2 in every 5 races when conditions turn wet. For context, a top trainer in a good season might win 1 in 5 across their entire string. A single horse hitting that ratio in specific conditions is a genuinely striking pattern, and it tells you that Orandi is built for the mud in a way most of its rivals simply aren't.

Trained by A.J. Martin out of Summerhill in County Meath — a yard that has already sent out 13 winners this season — Orandi picked up its second career win at The Curragh as recently as March 2025. That was 16 months ago now, and the last six runs have produced a string of mid-field and tail-end finishes, the most recent of which came just yesterday. The numbers from that recent stretch — 8, 7, 21, 15, 21, 8 — make for uncomfortable reading, and there's no disguising the fact that form has dried up considerably since that March success.

What keeps Orandi interesting is how precisely conditional its best form is. This isn't a horse you follow blindly — it's one you file away and wait for. The moment The Curragh comes up on the calendar and the forecast turns wet, Orandi moves from a footnote to a genuine contender. That combination has already produced both of its career wins, and at eight years old, there's no reason to think that particular trick has been forgotten.