Neptune Legend

The horse's real calling is Bath, where he has genuinely shone. He has won 4 of his 9 races there—a 44% win rate that marks him out as a genuine course specialist. That rate is unusual enough to matter: it suggests he either handles Bath's particular track characteristics well or simply runs better when he knows the ground and the layout. His most recent win came in July of this year, four months ago now, which means he is clearly capable of winning regularly even at his current age. When the ground is fast and dry, Neptune Legend becomes a noticeably better horse. On those conditions, he has won 4 of his 16 races (25%), compared to his overall win rate of 12%—a meaningful improvement that suggests he dislikes softer surfaces. He also shows a preference for middle distances between 1 mile 1 furlong and 1 mile 2 furlongs, where he has won one race from four attempts.

His recent form has been patchy. His last six races show two finishes in the top 3 (a fifth place four runs ago and a 14th place two runs back), punctuated by some poor efforts. However, he raced only yesterday, suggesting he is still an active, working horse in the yard of Tony Carroll at Cropthorne, Worcestershire. Carroll's yard is performing strongly this season with 136 winners to its name. With the right ground conditions and a return to Bath, Neptune Legend remains capable of adding to his tally.