Nelson Muntz
Nelson Muntz is a seven-year-old who has finally figured out what works. After 28 races yielding just 2 wins, he has discovered that longer distances suit him far better than shorter ones — at two miles and beyond, he wins roughly 1 in every 9 races, compared to a dismal 7% across all distances. Both his wins have come over extended trips: first at Kilbeggan in September 2025, then most recently this week at Gowran Park. That second victory came after months of honest racing without success, suggesting he has the temperament to keep trying even when the wins dry up.Based on TrackLab's analysis
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
His recent form tells a story of a horse who runs well enough to place regularly but struggles to get over the line. In his last six races, he has finished in the money five times — placing fourth, sixth, second, fifth, and thirteenth — with only one runaway result. The pattern is clear: he is competitive, just not quite at the top level most of the time. David Harry Kelly's Rathvin yard has sent out 13 winners this season, so Nelson Muntz is far from the yard's flagship, but he remains active and, judging by his win this week, still capable of delivering on the big day when the distance and conditions align.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 8 starts (12%)
✔ Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
✔ Well suited by Long Distance (2m+) distances: 11% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Loves
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, tight
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
2 Oct
🏆 Won
Gowran Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 16 runners
1 Oct
4th
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
10 Jul
6th
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 18 runners
7 Jul
2nd
Tramore
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners
29 May
5th
Tramore
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
1 May
13th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 28 runners
28 Mar
11th
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Soft_To_Heavy · 15 runners
15 Jan
3rd
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 5 runners
26 Dec
4th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 18 runners
28 Nov
8th
Dundalk
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 14 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| Kilbeggan Tight |
3 |
1 win, 2 other |
10 Jul |
33.3% |
| Killarney Sharp |
3 |
1 second, 1 third, 1 other |
5 Oct |
0% |
| Thurles Undulating |
3 |
1 third, 2 other |
20 Nov |
0% |
| Tramore Sharp |
3 |
1 second, 2 other |
7 Jul |
0% |
| Gowran Park Undulating |
2 |
1 win, 1 other |
2 Oct |
50% |
| Galway Tight |
2 |
2 other |
30 Jul |
0% |
| Clonmel Sharp |
2 |
1 third, 1 other |
1 Oct |
0% |
| Punchestown Galloping |
2 |
1 third, 1 other |
1 May |
0% |
| The Curragh Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
28 Mar |
0% |
| Fairyhouse Galloping |
2 |
1 third, 1 other |
15 Jan |
0% |
| Navan Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
9 Dec |
0% |
| Down Royal Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
22 Jun |
0% |
| Leopardstown Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
26 Dec |
0% |
| Dundalk Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
28 Nov |
0% |