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Nelson Muntz

Seven years old and still waiting for that second win to arrive, Nelson Muntz has been one of racing's more patient projects. Across 26 races, he has managed just the single victory — a win at Kilbeggan back in September 2025 — which works out to a win rate of roughly 1 in every 26 races. That said, he has been competitive far more often than that single win suggests, picking up 9 places along the way and showing he can get into the shake-up even when the win eludes him.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Mount Nelson
Mother
Boldilocks
Owner
N D Kennelly
Rating
115

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
26
Career races
1
Wins
3.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
34.6%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

His comfort zone is clearly at longer distances, two miles and beyond, where he has won 1 from 16 races. That 6% win rate over the longer trips sounds modest, but it tells you something useful: strip him back to a shorter distance and he is even less likely to trouble the judge. He is a stayer, and his best days come when races are run at a true, searching gallop that tests stamina rather than speed.

His recent form reads 6-2-5-13-11-3 over his last six outings, which is a mixed picture. There are signs of life — a second-place finish and a third — sandwiched around some races where he dropped well out of contention. He has not won since that Kilbeggan success ten months ago, and the team at David Harry Kelly's yard in Rathvin, Co Tipperary, will be working to find the right opportunity to add to his tally. Kelly has sent out 13 winners this season, so there is clearly form in the yard, and Nelson Muntz raced as recently as yesterday, meaning he is bang in the middle of an active campaign.

The honest summary is this: he is a horse that runs with consistency without quite turning it into victories. One win from 26 races is a tough return, but nine places across that span means he has been earning his keep and giving the yard something to work with. For a horse at this level, staying competitive and healthy at seven is worthwhile in itself — and that Kilbeggan win, however long ago it came, proves he can find the line first when everything falls right.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
Well suited by Long Distance (2m+) distances: 6% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to yielding (mild give)
Loves
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
10 Jul
6th
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 18 runners
7 Jul
2nd
Tramore
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners
29 May
5th
Tramore
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
1 May
13th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 28 runners
28 Mar
11th
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Soft_To_Heavy · 15 runners
15 Jan
3rd
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 5 runners
26 Dec
4th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 18 runners
28 Nov
8th
Dundalk
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 14 runners
20 Nov
3rd
Thurles
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 8 runners
16 Oct
4th
Thurles
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 7 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
Peter Smithers
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Mr D Doyle
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mr Pat Taaffe
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Jimmy Dalton
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kilbeggan
Tight
3 1 win, 2 other 10 Jul 33.3%
Killarney
Sharp
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 5 Oct 0%
Tramore
Sharp
3 1 second, 2 other 7 Jul 0%
Thurles
Undulating
3 1 third, 2 other 20 Nov 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 1 May 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
2 2 other 28 Mar 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 15 Jan 0%
Galway
Tight
2 2 other 30 Jul 0%
Dundalk
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Nov 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 third 16 May 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Dec 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 other 9 Dec 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 third 22 Jun 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 other 2 Sep 0%