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Mr Seagull

Mr Seagull broke his duck at Pontefract on 17 August 2025, finally securing a win after several attempts. The 3-year-old, trained by Hugo Palmer at his Malpas yard in Cheshire, has struggled to recapture that form since, winning just once in his last twelve outings and managing only 2 places across his entire career. His win rate stands at roughly 1 in every 12 races, a modest record that reflects a horse operating at a modest level.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Space Blues
Mother
Bayja
Owner
Two Plus Three Two Plus Four
Official rating
71

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
12
Career races
1
Wins
8.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
16.7%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
17 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What is striking about Mr Seagull is how long the gap has stretched since that sole victory. Fourteen months have passed, and in his last six races he has finished nowhere near the frame, posting placings only in the 5th and 4th positions. His most recent outing, just a day ago, saw him finish 9th, continuing a dry run that suggests he has found his level — a horse that occasionally shows enough to place in lesser races but has lost whatever sparked that win at Pontefract. Palmer's yard remains competitive overall, with 67 winners sent out this season, but Mr Seagull is very much the exception rather than the rule among his charges. For a 3-year-old still young enough to improve, the lack of recent form and the length of time since his last victory suggest he may have already peaked, or at least that his the yard will need patience and an eye for the right opportunity if he is to taste success again.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
1 Oct
9th
Salisbury
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 13 runners
11 Sep
5th
Sandown Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
16 Aug
4th
Pontefract
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
30 Jul
14th
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 20 runners
10 Jul
5th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
12 Jun
6th
Chester
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
23 May
4th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 11 runners
25 Apr
4th
Haydock Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
27 Sep
13th
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Yielding_To_Soft · 33 runners
11 Sep
17th
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
Jason Watson Current jockey
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Pontefract
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 16 Aug 50%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Sep 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Apr 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 23 May 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 12 Jun 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Sep 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 other 1 Oct 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 30 Jul 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 second 3 Sep 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Sep 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Jul 0%